For those who think Obama will be a pushover, think again. I have been warning people that he has a formidable machine behind him. He has a hold on the American public, who despite what he does still love him. Quinnipiac has a poll out showing Obama’s approval is up to 47%. That’s a 6 point gain from last month when it was 41%. Even worse, Democrats beat Republicans by 8 in the generic congressional ballot.
President Barack Obama’s job approval rating is up, from a negative 41 – 55 percent October 6, to a split today with 47 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving in a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The president has leads of 5 to 16 percentage points over likely Republican challengers.
Voters also are divided 47 – 49 percent on whether Obama deserves reelection, compared to last month, when voters said 54 – 42 percent he did not deserve reelection.
[....]
“President Barack Obama seems to be improving in voters’ eyes almost across-the-board,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “He scores big gains among the groups with whom he has had the most problems – whites and men. Women also shift from a five-point negative to a four-point positive.
”Whether this is a blip, perhaps because of the death of Moammar Gadhafi and the slight improvement in some of the economic numbers, or the beginning of a sustained upward move in his popularity isn’t clear and won’t be for some time. Nevertheless, the movement allows the White House a sigh of relief, for the president’s approval had been stuck in the low 40s for some time and even a temporary upward move is good news for the folks at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.”
Over the past month the president’s approval among men improved from 60 – 36 percent disapproval to 53 – 43 percent disapproval today; white voters shift from 62 – 34 percent disapproval to 56 – 40 percent disapproval. Women shift from a 51 – 46 percent disapproval last month to a 50 – 46 percent approval today.
Don’t dismiss these numbers. If I was a betting man, I would bet on Obama getting re-elected. He has the machine and his race as advantages. If the economy grows at 2-2.% next year, he will win. The media will show it as proof things are good. Many voters will fall for it to continue the Obama deception.
Tags: Quinnipiac P\oll
Me, too, God help us. I think he’ll get a second term, and then the gloves will be off. The only thing that may save us is he’ll have to deal with a Republican House and Senate. Obama can weather this, but the Democrats as a whole are another thing entirely. Obama won’t have any coat-tails for them to ride on. He’ll barely squeak through as it is.
@ Iron Fist:
Yup. Honestly, I’ve given up on the Presidency. I am focused on the House and Senate. IIf we win the Senate and hold the House, we can neuter Obama.
Before you guys get too carried away in the despair of the day, Quinipiac’s polling demographics look very suspect on this one. They look so bad in fact that they have refused to release their cross tab information. I would be very surprised if this one held up to any scrutiny.
@ Flyovercountry:
You’re really underestimating Obama.
@ Rodan:
My statement has nothing to do with Obama. It is entirely about a completely dishonest polling effort put forth by Quinnipiac. Obama’s numbers may very well be where this poll puts them, however, this poll’s validity is in serious doubt. I would expect better from this group, but their track record quite frankly has never been amongst the best.
this poll is crap.
sorry kids, this is a survey of self identified ‘voters’ (not ‘registered likely to vote’ voters checked against party registration)
land lines land lines land lines, i guarantee they called during business hours or early in the evening
and look at the geography primarily NE/I-95 corridor…i would love to see the overlay of where they called versus how that district votes///area codes…urban=democrat
i’ll quit here as they dont release any of the internals/mechanics
(coldwarrior has extensive training and experience in statistics including PhD level modeling/analysis and calls bullshit on this one)
@ Flyovercountry:
Good point.