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Virginia going for Obama

by Rodan ( 5 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Democratic Party, Elections 2012, Headlines, Liberal Fascism, Mitt Romney, Progressives, Republican Party, Theocratic Progressives at March 24th, 2012 - 3:36 pm

Recent polls show Obama holding a substantial lead among all Republicans. This is big turn around from just a few months ago, where he was unpopular. The Virginia GOP decided to focus on social issues by trying to pass the abortion ultrasound which was shelved turned off independents, whom the GOP needs to win. Santorum’s holy crusade against porn and contraceptives hasn’t help the GOP’s perception either. The Obama regime also has its campaign up and running on the ground. This is huge warning sign, since Virginia is a state the GOP should carry.

I noted a week or so back that Virginia was one of six states that the GOP had to win in November if they were going to win the Presidential election. Well it’s early, but things are not looking good in the Old Dominion at the moment. Two polls out this week have the President beating both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in the state after a period in which the prospective November race in the state was much closer and more favorable for the GOP.

[....]
President Obama appears to be widening his lead against all Republican presidential hopefuls, including Mitt Romney, among voters in the swing state of Virginia, according to a new poll.

The Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday shows Obama beating Romney, 50 percent to 42 percent, his biggest lead over the former Massachusetts governor in this election cycle.

[....]

President Obama now clears the 50% mark in support against his top two potential Republican challengers in the battleground state of Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds the president leading former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney by nine points – 51% to 42%. It was a six-point race a month ago – Obama 49%, Romney 43%. Four percent (4%) now prefer another candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) more are undecided.

[....]

This isn’t an automatic win for Obama either, of course, and the numbers are likely to tighten when the General Election race actually starts. However, without having access to the crosstabs for either of these polls, I would suspect that the past two months or so of the GOP doing everything it can to alienate independent voters and women is partly behind these numbers, and if Republicans don’t drop that nonsense quickly Virginia won’t be the only state they’ll have problems in.

If the GOP wants win Virginia in 2012 and the election, they need to focus on Economic/Fiscal issues. They should drop the social issues until after the election. Get in power first, then do the social stuff after you have addressed the fiscal and economic stuff. Social Conservatives need to mimic the Democrats and mask their agenda. Even if Social Conservatives are right about some issues, they have spent 20 years picking fights over nonsense that voters automatically get turned off. Adults don’t like ton be lectured by politicians. They want solutions to their problems.

Without Virginia the GOP is toast in 2012. Personally I don’t see the Republicans pivoting back to fiscal/economic issues in time. Too many of the base care more about moralizing over people’s personal lives rather than the nation’s fiscal situations. Go ahead and bash me all you want, but this is the reality. Most Americans hate to be lectured to and moralized.

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5 Responses to “Virginia going for Obama”
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  1. Speranza
    1 | March 24, 2012 4:31 pm

    We need to shut our mouths and stop getting into peoples faces over red meat issues.


  2. Da_Beerfreak
    2 | March 24, 2012 5:39 pm

    Move along Folks there’s nothing to see here.
    Just the Stupid Party being…

    Stupid. :evil:


  3. gizbot7
    3 | March 24, 2012 6:32 pm

    What scares me that is Virginia is highly diverse in terms of who they want to vote for. I swear, some of these people are about ready to start a civil war and the others are completely insane Ron Paul supporters. The only good news is that they are all pissed off at the O. So I don’t believe for a second that VA is going to the one. I have a lot of clients are in VA and they can’t stop bitching about him.


  4. eaglesoars
    4 | March 24, 2012 8:15 pm

    Rodan, I just answered your email. Let me explain here.

    The shift in polling numbers seems to be w/in the margin of error. Knowing Virginia fairly well, I’d say the polls 2 mos. ago were the aberration, not the 2 recent ones.

    Virginia is divided into 2 parts, culturally and politically. There’s Northern Virginia and there’s everything else. NoVa is BLUE. It has the highest concentration of population and the most money. NoVa is an ex-urb of D.C. It prospers because of its hooks into the Federal Gov’t. You can’t spit out your car window without hitting a contractor of some kind making a mint off Fed contracts. Certainly, that cohort exploded under Bush after 9/11 (I’m not kidding -- I can walk to Ft Belvoir and it became easier than driving given the increase in traffic). But under Obama, it’s been a bit more subtle -- the bureaucracies have branched out geographically to the ‘burbs -- and they’re all democrats -- Obama dems to be precise.

    If you look up Fairfax County in terms of wealth in the U.S., I think we’re around #3. And it’s all Fed money.


  5. 5 | March 26, 2012 1:55 pm

    @ eaglesoars:

    Loudoun Co., just west of Fairfax, was # 1 last year in the entire US.


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