Many Conservatives are over confident in the prospects of defeating Obama. This is a very dangerous attitude to take. About 3 weeks ago I thought Obama was in the verge of collapse. Bad economic numbers and the Romney’s campaign’s rapid response seemed to have caught Obama off guard. But then Obama counter attacked.
Obama’s immigration order, which let me make clear I feel was illegal since only Congress has the power of naturalization, is popular with American voters. Republicans botched the response on this by getting emotional instead of pointing out the illegality of the order. This undercut Romney’s measured response. Then Obama began a new assault on Bain Capital’s history of outsourcing. This has damaged Romney’s poll standing in Pennsylvania and Ohio. Other ads claim Romney will raise taxes on the poor and cut them for the rich. Here is what a low information voter’s impression of the election is due to these ads.
Their target: voters like Jessica Bruning, 28, of Holstein, Iowa.
“I don’t get a chance to see the news a lot,” Bruning, who was called in the USA TODAY Poll, said in a follow-up phone interview. “I have two kids and go to school and work. Seeing the ads every day helps me catch up. I see what they are going to do.”
What has she learned? That Obama has been pushing to keep student loan rates low — she’s attending community college to be certified as a welder, so that’s an important issue for her — and that Romney “wants to cut taxes for the rich people and raise them for the poor.”
“I don’t think that’s cool,” she says. She plans to vote for Obama.
Instead of responding to these charges, Mitt Romney took a vacation while Obama did campaign stops. Clearly Mitt Romney is overconfident that a bad economy will lead him to victory. This is a dangerous assumption when Obama is more than a normal politician, he is a cultural symbol.
WASHINGTON (AP) — History repeats itself, until it doesn’t.
That musty saw is worth remembering as pundits speculate on whether the lumbering economy will doom the re-election hopes of President Barack Obama, who has shown a knack for beating odds and breaking barriers.
Clearly, some important trends are working against him. The latest evidence came Friday in a lackluster jobs report that said the nation’s unemployment rate was stuck at 8.2 percent.
Yet Obama runs even with, or slightly ahead of, Republican rival Mitt Romney in poll after poll. Campaign strategists debate the reasons.
They might include Obama’s personal likability, gaps in Romney’s strategy or Americans’ grudging acceptance of a new normal in which millions of jobs are gone for good and no single person is responsible.
If high unemployment “was a killer, he’d already be dead,” said Republican pollster and consultant Mike McKenna. “The survey data tells you he’s not dead.”
There’s a problem with applying historical precedents and conventional wisdom to Obama. He sometimes defies them.
Read that last sentence very carefully. It is the most truthful analysis about Obama I have seen. He defies conventional wisdom. His poll standings are in the upper 40′s, despite everything wrong that he has done. He has survived a scandal like Fast and Furious, that would have destroyed any other administration. Yet Obama is virtually untouched and is in better shape politically than he was even 3 weeks ago.
Many will deny or come up with the excuses of bad polling samples. Those are valid criticisms but we must assume the data is correct. Its time for Conservatives to stop living in this fantasy that Obama will lose in a landslide. It’s a dangerous delusion that will hand the election to Obama.
The Romney campaign, the Republican Party and Conservatives must grasp the ugly truth about Obama. He is not a normal politician that normal political rules apply to. Obama is virtual political god-king/savior to a large segment of Americans. People overlook his failings because they have faith in the man. They really believe that Obama is trying his best and just needs more time. They refuse to see his failures and cling onto anything positive. This is what we are dealing with, a cultural phenomenon aided by the media and the entertainment industry. To many Americans Obama really is a god-king.
Romney needs to offer a clear alternative to Obama. His whole campaign is “I am not Obama.” That may help rally Conservatives who hate Obama, but it does nothing to win over Independents who decide elections. Plus to be frank, no one personally likes Romney. What Romney needs to do is offer a vision for a better tomorrow. He also needs to start attacking the concept of Obama as the god-king. Obama’s failures need to be highlighted against the perception that he is part of some galactic essence. The Romney campaign must turn Obama into an object of ridicule.
People can go ahead and trash my thread. They can continue to underestimate Obama and the cultural phenomenon behind him. Mock my post at your own peril. I hope the Romney campaign wakes up and realizes what it is up against. I really don’t want to have to do an I told you so post on November 7th. Obama can be beaten but first you have to realize what you are up against.
What to do:
Let’s get an email campaign going to give the Romney campaign some ideas. My idea is to have commercials mocking the Obama as god-king theme espoused by the people in the video clips below.
The ads could have clips of the 2 fools above and then show his failed policies. This would be very damaging and begin to strip away the Obama is god-king myth the media and culture have built up. That’s my idea.
Email your ideas!