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Archive for the ‘saturday lecture series’ Category

Satuday Lecure Series: The Beach

by coldwarrior ( 121 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Open thread, saturday lecture series at May 4th, 2013 - 8:00 am

Good Morning All! Why ‘The Beach’ you ask?

 

‘Cause I’m on one right now. Lecture is cancelled.

 

 

SPACE WEATHER BALLOON POPS: Last week, we reported on a group of high school students in Bishop, CA, who are launching “space weather balloons” to the edge of space to study the effect of solar flares on Earth’s ozone layer. This is what it looks like when a space weather balloon pops:

A camera atop the balloon’s payload recorded the explosion at 60 frames per second, allowing the student researchers to create a slow-motion movie of the balloon tearing itself to ribbons. This was their 22nd flight to the stratosphere since 2010, so they’ve seen this happen many times: another movie highlights some of the best explosions so far.

The popping of the balloon is an intentional part of the mission profile. It happens at an altitude of approximately 120,000 feet above Earth’s surface, well inside the ozone layer that the students wish to study. The payload then parachutes back to Earth, where students find it (often in exotic places such as Death Valley) using GPS trackers.

The name of the group is “Earth to Sky Calculus.” Check their Facebook page for more information about the space weather balloon program and other activities.

Saturday Lecture Series, Einstein Wins Again

by coldwarrior ( 13 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Open thread, saturday lecture series, Science at April 27th, 2013 - 8:00 am

Good Morning!  I thought this morning we would do some physics.

 

Einstein’s Theory of Relativity Victorious Once Again

In a match-up between quantum theory and the general theory of relativity, Einstein’s theory has once again come out victorious: this time in an orbiting pair of ultra-dense stars.

The star pair, about 7,000 light-years from Earth provides a unique opportunity to test the boundary between two theories of physics, according to SPACE.com.

Though Albert Einstein’s theory of relativity beautifully predicts how the gravity of massive objects curves space-time, it isn’t complete: it can’t explain the weird behavior of the ultra-small world, which is described by quantum mechanics.

For extremely small, yet extremely massive objects, such as black holes, the two theories clash and scientists have no physical description of exactly what goes on.

Enter the star pair. The couple, an extremely massive neutron star that spins around 25 times per second orbited by a tiny white dwarf, is both massive and tiny enough to reveal the behavior at the boundary between the two theories.

The white dwarf is an aging star that is cooling down over time. The neutron star is twice the mass of the sun, yet is just 12 miles (19 kilometers) wide, making gravity on the surface of the star 300 billion times as strong as Earth’s pull, SPACE.com reported.

Scientists observed the star system using the Very Large Telescope.

“A quick, on-the-spot analysis made me realize that the pulsar was quite a heavyweight. It is twice the mass of the sun, making it the most massive neutron star that we know of and also an excellent laboratory for fundamental physics,” John Antoniadis, a doctoral student at the Max Planck Institute for Radio Astronomy and lead author of a paper reporting the find, published in the April 26 issue of the journal Science, told SPACE.com.

To see whether Einstein’s theory held in the system, the team looked at the motions of the binary system. General relativity holds that massive objects warp space-time such that light will follow a curved path when under its pull. This particular binary star system should radiate ripples in space-time, known as gravitational waves. Alternate theories predict that the white dwarf would move slightly differently.

Sure enough, Einstein’s theory perfectly predicted the star pair’s motion.

“Our radio observations were so precise that we have already been able to measure a change in the orbital period of 8 millionths of a second per year — exactly what Einstein’s theory predicts,” Paulo Freire, another team member at the Max Planck Institute, told SPACE.com.

Though the new study can’t solve the conflict between quantum mechanics and general relativity, other experiments, such as the Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory, will hunt for other gravitational waves to test Einstein once again.

Saturday Lecture Series: Radar Bloom

by coldwarrior ( 85 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, meteorology, Open thread, saturday lecture series, Science at April 20th, 2013 - 8:30 am

Good Morning, lets take a look at the phenomenon of Radar Blooms this morning for the Saturday Lecture Series:

Please Click the Below link for the entire article:

Anomalies: Radar Bloom, Ducting Explained

There are a lot of interesting anomalies that you may see on displays that show NEXRAD (or any kind of) weather radar data. Some are caused by software, some are caused by the radar misinterpreting what it sees. None are worth some of the conspiracy theories that non-scientists have come up with.

Last month, blog reader Mike asked what is responsible for the radar “bloom” (or “radar blobs”) that occurs nationwide, but especially in the Southeast U.S. in Spring and Fall. What he is referring to is the gradual growth of non-precipitation objects on radar after sunset (and the data fades after sunrise). During the night, this causes a large blob around each radar site. I have uploaded some examples from that night.

EXAMPLES OF RADAR BLOOM: In the Huge AccuWeather Raw U.S. Loop and the Huge NWS Raw U.S. Loop, you are seeing the raw data from each NEXRAD radar plotted on a U.S. map. But in the Small AccuWeather Processed Northeast Loop, AccuWeather’s computer algorithms and meteorologists have attempted to “clean up” the radar by taking out areas of data that they thought were invalid. This caused the “cookie cutter” hole around Indianapolis and the lack of clutter in the Southeast. The “C”-shaped object over the Great Lakes is rain from a low pressure system, though you can still see the “blooms” around and inside it. There are also a couple things of note in the Indianapolis Radar Site Raw Loop – the “spike” in the first frame is a “sunset spike” and is caused by the radar being temporarily “bllinded” by the setting sun. The blobs of blue and brown in the Northeast quadrant are areas of rain moving south from the aforementioned low pressure system.

I knew what Mike was referring to was a type of “Ground Clutter” – also known as false echoes – a wide-ranging problem with weather radars, I just didn’t know what specifically was causing it. So, I set out to do some research on Google, but I couldn’t come up with an explanation, and apparently neither could anyone else who writes blogs or web pages. In the late 1990′s, I wrote several articles on radar anomalies and Ground Clutter for AccuWeather.com properties — but I never was able to explain this one.

NOAA [JessePedia], who owns and operates the radars in the national network, has an excellent page explaining how radar beams work. It included the illustrations below about Superrefraction and Ducting (the radar beam is shown in comparison to a faded “normal” radar beam at the top of the illustrations). In both cases, the radar beam curves quicker than the curve of the Earth. I suspected this was to blame for the Radar Bloom.

In the case of “Ducting” the radar beam bends so much that it hits the earth, causing extremely dBZ returns (because the ground is much thicker than your average raindrop when the beam runs into it). dBZ, or “decibels of Z” is the way radar data (hopefully precipitation) is measured. The colors you see on radars correspond to dBZ levels, higher meaning more intense. When the radar beam hits the Earth, this phenomenon is called “high dBZ anomalous propagation” and is a real problem because, to the untrained eye, it looks just like thunderstorms.

EXAMPLES OF HIGH-DBZ AP: Notice on this example, a Northeast Still Image, how the high dBZ AP in Canada and New York looks a lot like the thunderstorms off the coast of the Carolinas. If you Download* This Northeast Loop then you can see that, while the thunderstorms move, the AP stays still. On the
Binghamton Radar Site Raw Loop, notice how the AP mimicks the mountain tops, because the beam won’t make it to the valleys once it hits the mountains. Notice also in the northwest part of the image how there are no echoes over the lake, because the surface is too flat to reflect back to the radar.

Other websites confirmed this explaination of Ducting, but while this is great, it doesn’t explain radar “bloom” which is much lower on the dBZ scale* (see below), nor does it explain why it grows and shrinks with time.

Since I couldn’t get an answer online, I wrote in to the NOAA radar experts. After a couple of returned emails due to a bad form on their site, I finally got in contact with Joe Chrisman from the ROC (Radar Operations Center) Engineering Branch, who explained:

When the sun goes down and the surface begins to cool, the change in refractive index in the lowest few (to several) hundred feet of the atmosphere tend to bend the radar beam toward the surface. This bending holds the radar beam near the surface for extended distances, where it encounters scatterers that would not normally be available above the boundary layer. These scatterers include insects, bats, aerosols, particulate matter, etc., and account for the increased radar return referred to as “radar bloom.”

To decode that answer a little, what he’s saying is that it is, in fact, superrefraction that causes radar bloom.

In the case of superrefraction, the beam bends low to the ground but, unlike Ducting, it doesn’t run into the ground (until it gets out of range anyway). With the beam so close to the ground, it keeps running into multiple insects/dust/other particulates as it moves outward from the radar. As the superrefraction becomes worse, the radar beam travels farther than it had previously, and encounters even more of these particles, causing the amount of clutter on the screen to “grow.” As the superrefraction decreases in the morning, it shrinks.

Why does refraction itself (be it Super, Sub or Ducting) occur? That’s a more complicated question and I’ll let you read the NOAA page for a lengthy explanation. Basically, where the beam travels with respect to the Earth’s curvature is determined by a complex equation of pressure, temperature and humidity that can vary greatly in small distances, and it’s possible you might have more than one type of refraction occurring at the same time.

P.S. “Trophospheric Ducting” is a similar phenomenon by which radio waves propagate thousands of miles further than they normally would due to atmospheric conditions, causing, in one documented case, an FM radio in Hawaii to pick up a radio station from Mexico (if you have an FM radio in your car and have trouble picking up FM stations in your own town then you understand why that would be quite unusual).

 

bloom radar

 

 

Saturday Lecture Series: The Death of the Old Regime

by coldwarrior ( 20 Comments › )
Filed under History, Open thread, saturday lecture series at April 13th, 2013 - 8:00 am

Good Morning, welcome back to Prof Eugen Weber’s lecture hall at UCLA. Today,”39. The Death of the Old Regime
In France the old order collapsed under revolutionaries’ attacks and the monarchy’s own weakness.” Please follow that link out to the lecture. We have two lectures from Professor Emeritus Eugen Weber in a row because one of our grad students just figured out where the lecture hall is and missed the first 37 lectures, she is catching up tho.

Weber’s main focus as an historian is France. This is his specialty and this lecture is a fine delineation between ideals and mores in   Colonial America and Royal France side by side in a doctrinal framework. I urge you to pay very close attention to this and the next lecture. They are timeless and pertinent.

And Now Prof Weber is on Yinztube!

 

Saturday Lecture Series: The American Republic

by coldwarrior ( 53 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, History, Open thread, Patriotism, saturday lecture series, The Constitution at March 30th, 2013 - 8:30 am

Good Morning all! Its time for Prof Eugen Weber to lead us in a discussion of something near and dear to us:

 

38. The American Republic
A new republic, the compromise of radicals and conservatives, was founded on universal freedoms.

 

Please follow this link out to this fantastic and very timely lecture.

Saturday Lecture Series: Open Thread

by coldwarrior ( 39 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, College Basketball, Open thread, saturday lecture series at March 23rd, 2013 - 8:00 am

Sorry all. Got called out to work. The quick turnaround last night left me no time to post a lecture.

 

Enjoy this March Madness Open Thread.

Saturday Lecture Series: Early Morning Comet Pan-STARRS Lecture

by coldwarrior ( 100 Comments › )
Filed under Astronomy, Open thread, saturday lecture series, Science, Uncategorized at March 16th, 2013 - 5:00 am

Good morning, all! Welcome to an early morning lecture on Comet pan-STARRs here at the Blogmocracy Observatory. Yes its early, yes our grad ass CJ has a side table of bagels and donuts and coffee for us. So, let’s get started:

 

Comet Pan-STARRS is becoming visible in the northern hemisphere. The details are from our friends at spaceweather.com: Do read on!

 

THE MAGNITUDE OF COMET PAN-STARRS: “There seem to be a lot of pictures, but a shortage of magnitude estimates for Comet Pan-STARRS,” says Richard Keen, professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Colorado. “I saw it for the first time this evening, and got a magnitude estimate before the comet slipped behind a narrow cloud bank.” Keen is an expert observer of astronomical brightness, especially that of lunar eclipses which he uses to study aerosols in the stratosphere. “The comet is magnitude +0.2 with a short, but bright vertical tail. It was quite visible to the unaided eye. After the [head of the comet] set behind the mountains, the tail was visible for two or three more minutes.”

A growing number of observers say they can see the comet with their unaided eye. Here it is on March 14th at sunset over Valley Forge, PA:

“The comet looked fantastic through my 10×70 Fujinon binoculars, and it was barely visible to the naked eye,” says photographer John Chumack. Note: “Barely visible” is an improvement over recent nights.

Visibility should continue to improve in the nights ahead as Pan-STARRS moves away from the sun. Keen’s magnitude estimate of +0.2 means that the comet is approximately twice as bright as a first magnitude star. When it is framed by darker skies, it will really stand out. Tonight when the sun goes down, step outside, face west, and take a look: sky map.

More: NASA video, 3D orbit, ephemeris, light curves.

Realtime Comet Photo Gallery

Saturday Lecture Series: Novel Coronavirus

by coldwarrior ( 23 Comments › )
Filed under Medicine, Open thread, saturday lecture series at March 9th, 2013 - 8:30 am

Good morning all! Today on Grand Rounds here at Blogmocracy we are going to discuss a virus emanating from the Arab Peninsula, and no I don’t mean the one that turns men into misogynistic, cowardly, followers of a pedophile and turns women into black clad ghosts.  No, today we are discussing Novel Coronavirus (this is the main link for the lecture).

 

What we are seeing emerge is a new virus that causes severe upper respiratory infections which can easily lead to pneumonia and then possibly death.

Coronaviruses are a large, diverse group of viruses that affect many animal species. A few of these viruses cause a wide range of respiratory illness in humans, typically with “common cold” symptoms. Genetic sequence data indicate that this new virus is a beta-coronavirus similar to bat coronaviruses, but not similar to any other coronavirus previously described in humans, including the coronavirus that caused severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) (1). Comparison of viral genetic sequences from the two patients indicated that the two viruses are closely related. Treatment is supportive because no specific therapy has been shown to be effective.

Information for healthcare professionals – novel coronavirus 2012

Since the discovery of a novel coronavirus (nCoV) by Dutch researchers in September 2012 in lung tissue from a national from Saudi Arabia who had died from pneumonia, 12 cases of nCoV have now been identified worldwide. The most recent two cases were part of a family cluster in the UK where the index patient had recently travelled to Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. Of the 12 confirmed cases to date, most required intensive care support and six have died.

There are a variety of coronaviruses and these can cause illnesses ranging from a common cold to pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome. In light of the seriousness of the illness caused by this novel coronavirus, it is recommended that probable or confirmed cases should be managed in strict respiratory isolation and that all staff caring for these cases must wear full personal protective equipment (PPE) – FFP3 respirator (staff should be fit tested), goggles, gown and gloves. Anyone who was in close contact with a confirmed case of nCoV while the patient was ill should be followed up – this includes healthcare workers who provided direct clinical or personal care or examination of a case and were not wearing PPE while the patient was symptomatic.

The incubation period is currently considered to be up to ten days and therefore any respiratory illness occurring in the ten days following last contact with a confirmed case of nCoV is considered relevant and close contacts should self- isolate and alert their GP as soon as possible – where the close contacts are healthcare workers this should be there manager/ occupational health service. Symptoms would include fever, cough, or any other respiratory symptoms.

Updates on the current situation can be found on the “What’s new” page. Further information on case investigations and management; including case definitions is available on the Investigation and Management page of the HPA website. The latest changes to the management and investigation algorithms can also be found there. Information on infection control is available on the Guidance and Advice page.

Clinicians who think they may have a patient meeting the above criteria should discuss the case with their local microbiologist or infectious disease physician in the first instance.

Healthcare workers with health concerns or queries should contact their occupational health department.

 

 

What are coronaviruses?

A: Coronaviruses are common viruses that most people get some time in their life. Human coronaviruses usually cause mild to moderate upper-respiratory tract illnesses.

Coronaviruses are named for the crown-like spikes on their surface. There are three main sub-groupings of coronaviruses, known as alpha, beta and gamma, and a fourth provisionally-assigned new group called delta coronaviruses.

Human coronaviruses were first identified in the mid 1960s. The five coronaviruses that can infect people are: alpha coronaviruses 229E and NL63 and beta coronaviruses OC43, HKU1, and SARS-CoV, the coronavirus that causes severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Coronaviruses may also infect many different animals and cause them to have respiratory, gastrointestinal, liver, and neurologic diseases. Most of these coronaviruses usually infect only one animal species or, at most, a small number of closely related species. However, SARS-CoV can infect people and animals, including monkeys, Himalayan palm civets, raccoon dogs, cats, dogs, and rodents.

 

Update, Case Definitions, and Guidanc

CDC continues to work closely with the World Health Organization (WHO) and other partners to better understand the public health risk presented by recently reported cases of infection with a novel coronavirus. As of March 6, 2013, 14 laboratory-confirmed cases have been reported to WHO – seven from Saudi Arabia, two from Qatar, two from Jordan, and three from the United Kingdom. The onset of illness was between April 2012 and February 2013 (1). Among the 14 cases, eight were fatal. Severe acute respiratory infections occurred in 13 of the 14 cases, while one case experienced a mild respiratory illness and fully recovered.

Clusters of cases in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the United Kingdom are being investigated. The first cluster of two cases, both fatal, occurred near Amman, Jordan, in April 2012. Stored samples from these two cases tested positive retrospectively for the novel coronavirus. This cluster was temporally associated with cases of illness among workers in a hospital (2). A second cluster occurred in October 2012, in Saudi Arabia. Of the four individuals in the household, three were laboratory-confirmed cases, two of them died. In February 2013, a third cluster of three family members was identified in the United Kingdom. All three people tested positive for novel coronavirus. Among them, one family member is receiving treatment, one died, and one recovered after experiencing a mild respiratory illness. This cluster provides evidence of person-to-person transmission of novel coronavirus. It also provides the first example of mild illness being associated with novel coronavirus infection. The efficiency of person-to-person transmission of novel coronavirus is not well characterized but appears to be low, given the small number of confirmed cases since the discovery of the virus.

The reservoir and route of transmission of the novel coronavirus are still being investigated. Genetic sequencing to date has determined the virus is most closely related to coronaviruses detected in bats. CDC is continuing to collaborate with WHO and affected countries to better characterize the epidemiology of novel coronavirus infection in humans.

Saturday Lecture Series, Drug Resistant Tuberculosis

by coldwarrior ( 235 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Evolution, Medicine, Open thread, saturday lecture series, Science at February 23rd, 2013 - 8:30 am

Good morning all! Welcome to Grand Rounds here at Blogmocracy General Hospital. There is fresh coffee and bagels in the back of the room, help yourselves. Our grad-ass CJ will be more than happy to toast your bagels for you. Please hit his tip jar.

This topic is most concerning because tuberculosis is highly contagious and normally can only be cured after months of intense anti-biotic therapy. This MDR-TB (multiple drug resistant tuberculosis) has been around for a while, now there is totally drug resistant TB. The link below goes to the main article at the CDC. It is rather lengthy so I wont post it here. Do go over and have a read.

Abstract

Factors driving the increase in drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) in the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa, are not understood. A convenience sample of 309 drug-susceptible and 342 multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB isolates, collected July 2008–July 2009, were characterized by spoligotyping, DNA fingerprinting, insertion site mapping, and targeted DNA sequencing. Analysis of molecular-based data showed diverse genetic backgrounds among drug-sensitive and MDR TB sensu stricto isolates in contrast to restricted genetic backgrounds among pre–extensively drug-resistant (pre-XDR) TB and XDR TB isolates. Second-line drug resistance was significantly associated with the atypical Beijing genotype. DNA fingerprinting and sequencing demonstrated that the pre-XDR and XDR atypical Beijing isolates evolved from a common progenitor; 85% and 92%, respectively, were clustered, indicating transmission. Ninety-three percent of atypical XDR Beijing isolates had mutations that confer resistance to 10 anti-TB drugs, and some isolates also were resistant to para-aminosalicylic acid. These findings suggest the emergence of totally drug-resistant TB.

Saturday Lecture: The Sky Is Falling!

by coldwarrior ( 120 Comments › )
Filed under Astronomy, Open thread, saturday lecture series, Science at February 16th, 2013 - 12:00 pm

I had a hideous couple of days at work.Yeah, excuses, excuses. There is still a lecture.

 

Lets look at this Russian event. I’ll update as the day goes on, if anyone runs into any good vids, post em. Thanks.

 

RUSSIAN METEOR UPDATE: On Friday, February 15th at 9:30 am local time in Russia, a small asteroid struck the atmosphere over the city of Chelyabinsk and exploded. According to reports from news organizations and Russian authorities, as many as 1000 people received minor injuries from the shock wave. This is the most energetic recorded meteor strike since the Tunguska impact of 1908.

Researchers have conducted a preliminary analysis of the event. “Here is what we know so far,” says Bill Cooke, head of NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office. “The asteroid was about 15 meters in diameter and weighed approximately 7000 metric tons. It struck Earth’s atmosphere at 40,000 mph (18 km/s) and broke apart about 12 to 15 miles (20 to 25 km) above Earth’s surface. The energy of the resulting explosion was in the vicinity of 300 kilotons of TNT.” (continued below)

“A shock wave propagated down and struck the city below, causing large numbers of windows to break, some walls to collapse, and minor damage throughout the city,” he continued. “When you hear about injuries, those are undoubtedly due to the effects of the shock wave, not due to fragments striking the ground. There are undoubtedly fragments on the ground, but as of this time we know of no recovered fragments that we can verify.”

Videos of the event may be found here and here. In many of the videos you can hear the sound of windows shattering as the meteor’s loud shock wave reaches the ground. Onlookers cry out in Russian as alarms and sirens sound in the background. This pair of wide-angle gif animations is also worth watching: #1, #2.

It is natural to wonder if this event has any connection to today’s record-setting flyby of asteroid 2012 DA14. Paul Chodas of the Near Earth Object Program at JPL says no. “The Russian fireball is not related to 2012 DA14 in any way. It’s an incredible coincidence that we have had these two rare events in one day.”