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The math just does not add up

by Phantom Ace ( 166 Comments › )
Filed under Democratic Party, Elections 2016, Fascism, Hillary Clinton, Marxism, Nazism, Progressives, Republican Party, RINOcracy, Socialism, Tranzis at April 21st, 2016 - 8:00 am

One of the biggest myths of the 2012 election is that there were anywhere between 5 million and 65 million  potential Republican voters who did not show up. This was a myth perpetrated by Fox News, Talk Radio, Breitbart News and conservative websites. This tale was perpetrated  to make Republican voters feel good about themselves. Rather than be honest and admit the GOP has become a rural only party at the Presidential level, that needs to expand into suburban and urban areas. Instead it is feel good rhetoric about that people wanting free stuff or how losing is virtuous.

The following article debunks the missing voters lies and lays out the bare truth. The problem is not missing voters, it is that at the Presidential level, the Republican party has no appeal.

 

Give credit where credit is due. Donald Trump is basking in another big victory today. And there may never have been a campaign that bases so much of its reason for existence on “winning.” Yet, consider that even as Trump wins a landslide victory among Republican primary voters in New York, his polling numbers for November continue to plummet. According to the RealClearPolitics average of the latest polls, Trump would lose to Hillary Clinton — perhaps the worst Democratic candidate since George McGovern — by more than 9 percentage points. His net favorability rating is now just above 40 percent. That’s not exactly the stuff of “winning.”

To the degree that Trump has a strategy — a debatable point — it appears to be to appeal to disaffected white working-class voters, the oft-discussed “Reagan Democrats.” Trump hopes that by getting these nominally Democratic voters to cross over in November, he can expand the electoral map into the Midwest and other traditionally blue areas. In addition, Trump hopes to attract the 4 to 5 million “missing” conservatives who supposedly abandoned Mitt Romney in 2012. Unfortunately, as with so much about the Trump campaign, the numbers don’t actually add up.

Start with those missing conservative voters. It has become something of an article of faith on the right that as many as 5 million conservatives, disappointed with the moderate Mitt Romney, stayed home in 2012, costing Republicans the election. And on election night it certainly appeared that way, as Romney’s vote totals ran some 4 million behind those of previous nominees. And to be fair, it’s not only Donald Trump who believes this: Ted Cruz has also based much of his fall election strategy on this theory. But, as Sean Trende, perhaps the nation’s foremost voter analyst, has pointed out, that first look was misleading, resulting from slow vote counting in a number of traditionally Republican areas. Once all the votes were counted, Romney received 60.9 million votes, compared to 59.9 million for John McCain in 2008, and 60.7 million for George W. Bush in 2004. Moreover, exit polls showed that Romney performed roughly as well as both Bush and McCain among key Republican voter constituencies such as men, whites, evangelicals, and self-identified conservatives.

[….]

To begin with, actual Reagan Democrats — that is, the blue-collar Democrats who helped provide Reagan with his landslide victories in 1980 and 1984 — are mostly gone. If the average Reagan Democrat was 40 in 1980, the median voting age that year, he would be 76 today. Given the short life expectancies for white non-college-educated working-class men, a lot of those Reagan voters are not with us today.

[….]

In 1980, for example, even with all those Reagan Democrats, Ronald Reagan carried white voters by 10 percentage points. Mitt Romney actually won white voters by double that figure — 20 percentage points — but he still lost. That’s because whites’ share of the total vote fell from 90 percent in 1980 to around 76 percent in 2012. Even if Trump is able to push the white vote up by 2 or 3 points — something that he has shown that he is able to do in some primaries — he would still fall short in November. We live in a different demographic universe from the one we inhabited in 1980. And, while the absence of Barack Obama from the ticket could hurt minority turnout in some areas, the widespread antipathy for Trump among minorities would likely offset any falloff in the black or Latino vote.

[….]

Furthermore, all of this analysis presumes that Trump is able to hold traditional Republican votes, but that looks increasingly unlikely. Polls show that as many as 38 percent of Republican primary voters say they could not see themselves supporting Trump in November. One recent poll showed the Libertarian candidate — former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson — drawing 11 percent of the vote in a hypothetical three-way match-up with Trump and Clinton, even though he is virtually unknown outside his home state. Trump fares especially poorly with Republican women, with polls showing as many as 47 percent saying they cannot see themselves supporting the New York billionaire. Of course, many Republican voters will likely come home as November draws closer and they face the prospect of a President Hillary. But, given the demographic hill that Trump already has to climb, any loss of Republican support will pretty much doom his bid.

With Trump’s takeover of the Republican party almost complete and it’s transformation from a Center-Right to a Leftist-Populist party, many traditional Republicans are heading to the exits. The beneficiary is the Libertarian party, whose ranks are growing.

According to a recent Gallup poll and a report from Ballot Access News, the libertarian movement is not only gaining in popularity but is adding new members to the Libertarian Party. In fact, recent data shows that the it’s becoming the fastest growing party in the United States.

According to Cato‘s David Boaz, the number of people who identify as libertarian is increasing in the US according to the Gallup Poll’s 2015 survey. The results show that“27 percent of respondents can be characterized as libertarians, the highest number they have ever found,” as more people are identifying as libertarian than conservative, liberal or populist.

According to the March 1, 2016 Ballot Access News publication, Democrat Party registrations declined between Oct. 2014 and Feb. 2016. The same occurred among Republicans, Independents, The Green and Constitution Party.  The only party that gained registrations is the Libertarian Party (See chart below on page 3. The chart shows the states in which people register by party).

Austin Peterson who is running for the Libertarian party has adopted many traditional Republican stances, like being pro life.

The defection of Republicans to the Libertarians will come back and bite the GOP in November. I wonder what excuse Rush Limbaugh, Fox News, Sean Hannity, Breitbart and other outlets will have when the GOP loses 3 elections in a row?

 

 

 

 

 

There is a 3rd Option

by Phantom Ace ( 332 Comments › )
Filed under Censorship, Democratic Party, Elections 2016, Fascism, Hillary Clinton, Marxism, Politics, Progressives, Republican Party, Socialism, Tranzis at March 29th, 2016 - 11:35 am

With the assistance of charlatans of the the alleged conservative media, America’s version of Hugo Chavez is set to win the nomination of the Reactionary-Socialist Republican party. On the other side, The femail version of Mao Zedong is set to win the nomination of the Neo-Marxist Democrat party. This is a terrible choice for those who believe in economic liberty, personal liberty and social tolerance.

Both parties with assistance from their respective media have been hijacked by radicals and reactionaries who envision a Fascist Socialist police state. The Democrats have been taken over social justice warriors who blame whites and Christians for everything wrong in the world. They sympathize with our Islamic adversaries and view Western Civilization as a blot on humanity. On the other side, the Republicans have been taken over by reactionary losers who rather than adapt to modern times pine for the 1950’s. They blame all of America’s ills on racial/ethnic minorities and  urban upscale whites. Both parties preach division and hatred of the “other.” A tactic totalitarian movements have used throughout history use to gain power, starting withe the Jacobins of revolutionary France..

Missing in this victimology mindset present in both parties is personal responsibility. It’s all about blaming others for your personal failings in life. Both parties preach a utopia where the victims will be in charge and those who are viewed as the cause of their ills will be treated as 2nd class citizens at best or even worse. Rather than address real issues, both parties use Soviet/Nazi style propaganda to keep their respective voters in state of anger. This sad state of affairs leaves Americans in both parties of good will with nowhere to go. Many feel they have to choose the lesser of 2 Totalitarian Progressive evils. New polling data reveals a new choice is emerging for those of us that just want to live our lives and do not have animosity with others.

Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson is now polling at 11%. Republicans disgusted by the American Chavez and Democrats repulsed by the female Mao are seriously looking at the Libertarian party as an alternative.

Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson would still be well behind the two major party candidates, but if a poll showed the Libertarian Party hopeful would be in the double digits against Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

That’s according to a Monmouth University poll of registered voters released last week.

The poll shows that Clinton would get 42 percent, Trump 34 percent and Johnson 11 percent. Clinton is the current frontrunner for the Democratic nomination and Trump is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination. Johnson is one of 16 candidates—so far—seeking the Libertarian Party nomination.

[….]

“A vigorous third party campaign is a very real possibility this year, but it is not yet clear what the impact could be. Including Johnson’s name in our polling seems to be more of a placeholder for voters who are not particularly thrilled with either major party choice right now,” Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray said when releasing the numbers.

Most new outlets focused on the head-to-head race between Clinton and Trump, which Clinton led in the poll 48 percent to 38 percent. Clinton also led U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas 45 percent to 40 percent though trailed John Kasich 45 percent to 39 percent according to the poll.

Many will argue voting for the Libertarians is a wasted vote. This is a totalitarian tactic used to force people from exercising their right to vote for who best represents them. With the 2016 election rapidly coming down to Hugo Chavez vs. a female Mao, Pro-liberty Americans have a right to vote for their beliefs. I know this is a pro-Trump blog and the cool thing is to support him, and if you don’t you are considered a traitor.

I also know there are those who are not on the Trump train and I am informing them they do have a choice. Consider Gov. Gary Johnson of the Libertarian party. He believes in freedom and economic opportunities for all Americans regardless of race or class. It is still for the moment despite what the Democrat and Republican parties would like, free country. Thus, voters should have an option that is not the lesser of Progressive evils.

Let the bashing and ridicule of my thread, commence! :-)

TACO Tuesday – #EffUMizzou

by Carolina Girl ( 201 Comments › )
Filed under Censorship, Democratic Party, Hipsters, History, Marxism, Progressives at November 17th, 2015 - 11:00 am

Angry taco

[I apologize in advance for the use of vulgar, but in this case necessary, language.]

So, the precious kumquats at Mizzou and other campuses are upset that terrorists attacking Paris have taken the “spotlight” off their hurt feelings and need for safe “spaces”. How dare the media turn away from the horror of a poop swastika and instead focus on the blood flowing on the streets of Paris. Someone has been mean to us! Don’t you care? And look at Amherst! Why, those poor little rich kids – why, they have to endure a football mascot dressed as an American Revolutionary War hero! WHY, oh Lord, WHY? Besides, all those people who were murdered in Paris were White! And as we all know, only #BlackLivesMatter.

So these irrelevant little douchebags, not satisfied with making themselves look petty and ridiculous, decided to go for all the gusto and created a NEW hashtag, lest we forget just who the real victims are here: #fuckparis. No, seriously, they actually are using that in their tweets. What’s worse is that when taken to task for this, they double down with the “white privilege” argument.

Oh shut the hell up.

I’m old enough to have watched the Civil Rights movement in the South up close and personal. I was fortunate enough to have a mother – a white, conservative REPUBLICAN woman from New England, who gathered us to listen to the “I Have a Dream” speech by Martin Luther King at the foot of the memorial to the President who kept the Union together, at a very high price, paid on both sides of the conflict. I learned that #BlackLivesMatter watching a nasty piece of work turn fire hoses and attack dogs on children and protesters. I don’t need you clowns to tell me how it was. When I walked to school, I didn’t understand why my friend went left and I went right at the intersection. I’ve seen the Gorgon of racism – REAL racism. And you want to tell ME that my “white privilege” doesn’t allow me to understand the significance of your hurt feelings and fear?

Oh shut the hell up.

Fear? Do you want to talk about FEAR? There was a time when Blacks were afraid to even register to vote, were afraid to congregate, were afraid to look at a white person for too long a period of time. Yes, it was ugly and from this ugliness a great man arose. Who took America by the hand, untied the blindfold and said “Do you see? This is still a part of your country. You’re good people. You can’t let this go on.” And he walked, and he defied unjust laws and got arrested. And he did so with dignity. And people from all over the country came to help. White people linked arms with Black people and said “we are with you.” And some of those White people died for it. And it culminated in one of the most moving speeches in history that told us, indeed #AllLivesMatter. I try to think how The Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King would have reacted had the media stopped covering his march in Selma to put the spotlight on a tragedy such as Paris. He would not have stomped his feet and acted like a five-year-old denied a cookie. He would have found the nearest house of worship and offered prayers for the victims. If no church was available he would have done it where he stood. You snots took to Twitter and whined because someone turned off the cameras.

Oh shut the hell up.

The civil rights movement I remember had Dr. King, Ralph Abernathy, Cecil Williams, Thurgood Marshall – who eloquently stated the truth of the situation, at great peril to themselves. You have DeRay McKesson, a garden-variety attention whore, who stokes the flames of dissent and runs away to the next location. And frankly, the last hit by Snoop Dog was more articulate than anything this guy has to say.

And all of you combined don’t equal the courage of one Medgar Evers.

And I’m sure this will all be branded as racist, vile, and I’m Bull Connor in a skirt. Say what you want, I know the truth of how I feel and who I am. But frankly, your hashtag and behavior in light of the real deaths of real people in Paris, who were in their “safe spaces” asking nothing, harming no one, really, really, pissed me the hell off.

So I invented a hashtag of my own.

Mars Attacks: The Department of Education Must Go

by Mars ( 146 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Barack Obama, Blogmocracy, Climate, Communism, Democratic Party, Education, Environmentalism, Fascism, Free Speech, Global Warming Hoax, government, Guest Post, Liberal Fascism, Marxism, Political Correctness, Progressives, Regulation, Science, Socialism, Technology at June 16th, 2015 - 7:00 am

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2015/06/09/the-government-is-helping-fund-a-minecraft-style-game-for-teaching-kids-about-the-environment/

The government is helping fund a Minecraft-style game for teaching kids about the environment

Minecraft is a cultural phenomenon. The block-based exploration and crafting game was snapped up by Microsoft for $2.5 billion last year and has helped inspire competitors from giant toy companies like Lego.

Even the government is interested in building on Minecraft’s success: The Department of Education is helping fund a project known as “Eco” that looks a lot like Minecraft, except with a few added twists: There’s a looming ecological disaster and players must band together to make a community — agreeing on laws and living in harmony with the environment.

If they fail, the world dies forever. Strange Loop Games, the company behind the game, describes it a “global survival game” and says failure results in “server-wide perma death.”

Eco is designed to help teach middle school students about environmental science and was awarded a nearly $900,000 grant from the Department of Education last month. It has completed a test phase where 60 students in five classes tried it out, according to the grant contract. The prototype for that test run also received a DOE grant of around $150,000.

Here’s what the game prototype looks like in action:

The latest grant will help build out new features, including a teacher dashboard, and let researchers figure out how effective the game is by collecting data on 150 students in 10 classrooms. Half of the classes will use the normal environmental teaching plan, while the other half will supplement the curriculum with Eco — letting the developers see if the game actually helps boost students’ understanding of ecology.

Minecraft itself is already used by some educators for things like building replicas of ancient Roman apartment buildings and teaching problem-solving.

Understand, Minecraft is a phenomena amongst the younger crowd. It is a huge sprawling creative sandbox that allows the children to experiment with construction and even computer design and programming. This atrocity is something else entirely. It is also designed for programming, programming children to become Eco-nuts. It is developed using a gameplay that the kids are familiar with and enjoy, but adds in all of the Eco nonsense that you could ever hope a future generation of children would need to become good little “citizens of the world”.

Minecraft meets ecology simulation in an open-world educational game

By Charlie Hall on Jun 09, 2015 at 3:30p @Charlie_L_Hall
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Veteran studio Strange Loop Games is embarking on an ambitious project to create a new kind of open world multiplayer game where the survival of every player on the server depends on careful management of in-game resources. With funding from the U.S. Department of Education, Eco hopes to become a platform for teaching middle school students about ecology in a communal, cloud-based game world.

Strange Loop calls their project a “global survival game.” In Eco’s fiction there is an impending disaster looming over humanity — an event like a meteor strike, a drought or a flood. The clock is ticking, and players must work together to prevent the onrushing apocalypse or risk “server-wide perma death.”

The tools at players disposal are familiar to anyone who’s played Minecraft. Eco’s world is a lush paradise, modeled after the Pacific Northwest, filled with plants and animals. But unlike Minecraft, real ecological forces are at play in the background.

“Resources are finite,” states the game’s website. “Chop down every tree and fail to plant more? They won’t be growing back. Hunt every elk for food? They’re now extinct. Pollute a section of land with mining runoffs? Your crops are poisoned. This ecosystem is your only lifeline in a race against time.

“You’re facing two existential crises simultaneously: an external threat that you must avert, and the threat of causing your own destruction. A rock and a hard place.”

But the game doesn’t want to be preachy, it just wants to attempt to simulate the real forces at play on our planet, give players a sense of ownership and empower them with the tools the make change.

“In Eco the goal isn’t to save the environment,” said studio head John Krajewski earlier this year in the YouTube video above. “The goal is to build. The goal is to create a civilization.”

In the background the game is constantly keeping track of real complex data, which allows players to see the changes being felt by in-game populations in near real time. While players on the server will be given free choice, the entire community will also have the opportunity to vote on laws that will change how they’re allowed to interact with the environment.

“Every law in Eco needs to be backed up with scientific documentation,” said Krajewski, “that’s based on the actual data that’s coming from the game.”

The game will run on a server in the cloud, which will allow players to access the game from anywhere — including at home or in the classroom. Teachers will be given a toolset to allow them to tailor individual worlds to meet their educational needs, effectively letting them create specific scenarios and influence the game world in real time.

“The classroom time is the chance to have the council meeting. … That’s where we see the role of the teacher is very important.”

The promise of the game has even captured the interest of the U.S. Department of Education, which has given Strange Loop Games a two year, $900,000 grant to develop the game. There is also a Kickstarter expected later this year.

“Eco is possibly the first video game where your character can actually save the world,” says the website, “because the alternative is for once possible.”
http://www.polygon.com/2015/6/9/8752973/eco-minecraft-ecology-simulation-strange-loop-games

The overarching themes of “save the world” is worrying enough, it’s when you get into what the game is designed for is when things get really terrifying. They have actually set it up where you “design laws” for your enviro friendly civilization.

This is blatant programming of children, you take something kids are already enjoying, you change it around to fit an agenda and then you force feed the kids the final result in the school system. If a company tried something this blatant they would be shut down and the heads would probably be thrown in jail. Your federal government at work. Changing hearts and minds, by mandate.