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Democrat Trouble

by coldwarrior ( 56 Comments › )
Filed under Democratic Party, Elections, Open thread, Republican Party at October 20th, 2015 - 7:00 am

If it were the GOP losing all of the states like this we would never hear the end of it. This lefty brings it up as a huge problem. And he is at least right on that!


An interesting article from the enemy left, please read the whole thing:

Democrats are in denial. Their party is actually in deep trouble.

The Democratic Party is in much greater peril than its leaders or supporters recognize, and it has no plan to save itself.

Yes, Barack Obama is taking a victory lap in his seventh year in office. Yes, Republicans can’t find a credible candidate to so much as run for speaker of the House. Yes, the GOP presidential field is led by a megalomaniacal reality TV star. All this is true — but rather than lay the foundation for enduring Democratic success, all it’s done is breed a wrongheaded atmosphere of complacence.

The presidency is extremely important, of course. But there are also thousands of critically important offices all the way down the ballot. And the vast majority — 70 percent of state legislatures, more than 60 percent of governors, 55 percent of attorneys general and secretaries of state — are in Republicans hands. And, of course, Republicans control both chambers of Congress. Indeed, even the House infighting reflects, in some ways, the health of the GOP coalition. Republicans are confident they won’t lose power in the House and are hungry for a vigorous argument about how best to use the power they have.

Not only have Republicans won most elections, but they have a perfectly reasonable plan for trying to recapture the White House. But Democrats have nothing at all in the works to redress their crippling weakness down the ballot. Democrats aren’t even talking about how to improve on their weak points, because by and large they don’t even admit that they exist.

Instead, the party is focused on a competition between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton over whether they should go a little bit to Obama’s left or a lot to his left, options that are unlikely to help Democrats down-ballot in the face of an unfriendly House map and a more conservative midterm electorate. The GOP might be in chaos, but Democrats are in a torpor…

he worst part of the problem for the Democratic Party is in races that are, collectively, the most important: state government.

Elections for state legislature rarely make the national news, but they are the fundamental building blocks of American politics. Since they run the redistricting process for the US House of Representatives and for themselves, they are where the greatest level of electoral entrenchment is possible.

And in the wake of the 2014 midterms, Republicans have overwhelming dominance of America’s state legislatures.

In what Democrats should take as a further bleak sign, four of the 11 states where they control both houses of the state legislature — Maryland, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Illinois — have a Republican governor. This leaves just seven states under unified Democratic Party control.

Republicans have unified control of 25 states. Along with the usual set of tax cuts for high-income individuals and business-friendly regulations, the result has been:

Admittedly, one of the Democrats’ seven states is California, which contains more than 10 percent of the nation’s total population. But Texas and Florida combine for more people than the Golden State, and the GOP also dominates Ohio, Georgia, and North Carolina — all of which are among the 10 largest states by population. Democrats’ largest non-California bastion of unified control is Oregon, home to only about one percent of the American people.*

As of 2012 or so, Democrats thought they had a solution to this. Hard-right GOP governors in places like Wisconsin and Florida had become unpopular and were clearly overreaching — reading a wave driven by the poor economy in 2010 as an ideological mandate for sweeping conservative policy change. And that worked in Pennsylvania’s 2014 gubernatorial election — Tom Wolf rode a backlash against then-Gov. Tom Corbett’s hard-right policies to victory. But Scott Walker, Rick Scott, Rick Snyder, and even Maine’s Paul LePage were all reelected. And while the old plan didn’t pan out, no new one has risen to take its place.

The GOP is flexible

Liberals accustomed to chuckling over the ideological rigor of the House GOP caucus won’t want to hear this, but one of the foundations of the GOP’s broad national success is a reasonable degree of ideological flexibility.

Essentially every state on the map contains overlapping circles of rich people who don’t want to pay taxes and business owners who don’t want to comply with labor, public health, and environmental regulations. In states like Texas or South Carolina, where this agenda nicely complements a robust social conservatism, the GOP offers that up and wins with it. But in a Maryland or a New Jersey, the party of business manages to throw up candidates who either lack hard-edged socially conservative views or else successfully downplay them as irrelevant in the context of blue-state governance.

Democrats, of course, are conceptually aware of the possibility of nominating unusually conservative candidates to run in unusually conservative states. But there is a fundamental mismatch. No US state is so left-wing as to have created an environment in which business interests are economically or politically irrelevant. Vermont is not North Korea, in other words….

On the Democratic side, the personal political success of Barack Obama has created an atmosphere of complacency and overconfidence. If a black guy with the middle name Hussein can win the White House, the thinking seems to be, then anything is possible. Consequently, the party is marching steadily to the left on its issue positions — embracing same-sex marriage, rediscovering enthusiasm for gun control, rejecting the January 2013 income tax rate settlement as inadequate, raising its minimum wage aspirations to the $12-to-$15 range, abandoning the quest for a grand bargain on balancing the budget while proposing new entitlements for child care and parental leave — even though existing issue positions seem incompatible with a House majority or any meaningful degree of success in state politics.

Whatever you make of this agenda substantively, there’s no way to actually enact it without first achieving a considerably higher level of down-ballot electoral success than Democrats currently enjoy.

But instead of a dialogue about how to obtain that success, Democrats are currently engaged in a slightly bizarre bidding war between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders to see whether Congress in 2017 will reject a legislative agenda that is somewhat to the left of Obama’s or drastically to its left. The differences between them are real, of course, and at least somewhat important.

But the much more significant question facing the party isn’t about the White House — it’s about all the other offices in the land. The problem is that control of the presidency seems to have blinded progressive activists to the possibility of even having an argument about what to do about all of them. That will change if and when the GOP seizes the White House, too, and Democrats bottom out. But the truly striking thing is how close to bottom the party is already and how blind it seems to be to that fact.

Trump Signs Loyalty Pledge

by coldwarrior ( 135 Comments › )
Filed under Donald Trump, Elections 2016, Open thread, Politics, Republican Party at September 3rd, 2015 - 4:08 pm

The Politburo of the Grand Old Party has received the undying and ever strong loyalty of Donald Trump.


The Glorious Party is surely the keeper and protector of the Motherland! All Hail the Party!


Donald Trump said Thursday that he signed a pledge to not run as an independent candidate if he did not win the Republican Party’s nomination.

“I have signed the pledge,” the leading candidate said at a news conference at Trump Tower in New York City. He had just met with Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus. “I will be totally pledging allegiance to the Republican Party and the conservative principles for which it stands.

“We will fight hard and we will win,” Trump said.

The billionaire businessman said commended Priebus for treating him fairly since he announced his candidacy in June.

“He’s been extremely fair,” Trump said. “The RNC has been absolutely terrific over the last two-month period, and as you know that’s what I’ve wanted. I have wanted fairness.

“I don’t have to be treated any differently than anybody else,” he added. “I just wanted fairness from the Republican Party.”

Trump said that he got “absolutely nothing” for signing the pledge, “other than the assurance I would be treated fairly and I’ve seen that over the last two months.

“They really have been very fair.”

He said he would honor the pledge. “I have no intention of changing my mind.”

“I see no circumstances under which I would tear up that pledge,” he later added.

Now the apparatchiks and word-stringers will move the goal posts.



I’m Confused.

by coldwarrior ( 184 Comments › )
Filed under Barry Goldwater, Donald Trump, Economy, Elections 2016, government, immigration, Military, Open thread, Patriotism, Politics, The Political Right at August 31st, 2015 - 7:00 am

I actively read all of the negative punditry from the ‘righty’ chattering class and statements made by our ‘righty’ politicians, and I have noticed two negative themes that they use against Trump and his supporters. I find these very sly and interesting, and I find these suppositions to be very incorrect and frankly insulting:

1: Free trade is a pillar of conservatism. Is it? Since when? Since when is it even remotely conservative to willingly look the other way while your trade partners cheat and send good middle class jobs out of the country forever? Since when is it conservative to actively regulate to run billion dollar account deficits? For that matter, since when is it conservative to massively expand government and run up debt that equals 100% of gdp? Since when is it conservative to agree to regulations and policies that keep wages stagnant for almost 30 years?

The GOP needs to jettison the so called Chamber of Commerce, a once truly capitalist group, but now a group that fights for more regulation and immigration / free trade treaty crutches instead of doing the real capitalism of hard work and innovation and productivity. Lowering wages only goes so far, sending jobs overseas only goes so far then the system comes unglued at home becasue short term gain costs in the long run. Their talking points will risk losing the newly won middle class. Free trade is not a pillar of conservatism. Fair trade is. When we compete, we win.

I wonder what would happen if the University of Dehli set up a Law School and H1B’s became available to the new grads? I wonder what would happen if we outsourced the chattering class?

2: Nationalism is a bad thing and never a conservative position. Really? Since when  it it not conservative to put America’s interests first ahead of the other countries and groups in the world? Since when is it conservative to be in never ending wars to ‘spread democracy’ where we send the middle class kids off to die while the political and chattering class kids go to university? Since when is it not conservative to enforce the laws and control the border? Why is it not conservative to be a nationalist?


How the HELL did we get to the point where putting America’s interests first became a bad thing?


Tho GOP and the chattering classes are reaping what they sewed. And it would be very nice to see them ‘unemployed’.


*A word from Dorian on the same subject*

Trump Lives Rent Free in Some Really Big Heads.

by coldwarrior ( 76 Comments › )
Filed under Donald Trump, Elections 2016, Open thread, Politics, Republican Party at August 25th, 2015 - 8:00 am

I had just birdied #1 at my country club. Not bad after a night shift. But I was nagged by something. I walked over to the pro tees  at #2, the hardest hole on the course.

This hole is torture unless you hit a perfect tee shot down the right side over or under  the enormous ancient oak that blocks the right fairway 200 yds from the pro tees because the fairway slopes to the left.. Go left and you are in the old oaks and blocked. After a very rare PERFECT tee shot on #2, and i do mean rare. The nagging morphed into a pondering of why the previously intelligent, level headed, rarely wrong and often brilliant ‘adults in the room’ such as  Will, Krauthammer, and the entire NRO staff have become  the keyboard version of the obnoxious phony-tough kid on the playground who calls everyone names but when confronted runs to teacher. They have evolved into writers unbecoming. I was also pondering a difficult up hill 125 yard wedge shot that would run away from right to left. The greens at this hundred plus year old masterpiece are stupid fast. But I digress.

In short, why is it that Donald Trump lives rent free in their heads? Why is it they have devoted so much print and words to one man and his supporters. I have never seen these guys go after the left or Obama in the way that they have gone after Trump and those who agree with his message. Odd that they would save their poison pen for someone and some people on their own side. Clown, Blowhard, Ego-Maniac, Racist…many adjectives. You get the picture.

They have twisted themselves in intellectual knots to degrade and dismiss Trump and his supporters: He is really a Democrat running in the GOP (or going 3rd party)  at the behest of the Clintons. His supporters are simply angry children who can’t make up their minds like adults. Trump is nothing more than a billionaire version of Putin who wants to own America. The market crash is Trumps fault…Et Cetera.

George Will basically said that it is OK for illegals to break the law and stay here, the real conservative position is to ignore the illegal immigration problem because there are so many.  Since when is obeying and enforcing the law not the conservative position? Krauhammer wondered out loud why we are wasting so much ink on Trump…ummm….well, you are one of the main culprits, doc. Navel-gaze much?

I could go on with more examples of vitriol and temper tantrum from the chattering class on the issue of Trump, but yinz have read it all yinz selves over the past month or two. Which brings me back to the opening question: Why is it that Donald Trump lives rent free in their heads?

Well, on the approach shot to #2 green it hit me. The 48 Vokey is enough if I don’t get it fat. The Titleist V1 will spin in and grip without release so the run away left of the hole is taken out of the equation. Spin much? A Titleist V1 hit well with a Vokey Wedge sure does, so do the chattering classes.  The chattering class hates Trump so much because he is a real threat to their existence. These guys spin words together, that is their only skill and only product. They only write for a small percentage of the public to start with, so their limited skill set and market makes their grasp on money and a comfy lifestyle in the I95 corridor tentative even in good times. So they must protect their turf and sell strings of words to eat. Trump is leading a good percentage of their customers away because for Trump and his supporters, the chattering class are dunsel at the least or part of the problem at the worst.

The thing that drives them nuts about Donald Trump is that he is so wealthy, and such a natural leader,  that he does not need them, or need the ruling elite, or need the lobbyists and this is driving them CRAZY! He does not need the chummy structure in place in DC that runs the GOP or runs the Dems for that matter. If he wins, that entire ball of corruption and power brokering comes unwound because he is completely independent of them and may do whatever a newly elected independent Executive wants to do with this failing company. The ponzi scheme is over.  When you are not needed, you lose power and lose money and lose your job.

The chattering class sees Trump as a terrible threat. If Trump does not need them, and he gains more and more supporters, a good percentage of the customers who buy their word-strings will realize that they don’t need the chattering class face of the ruling elite.  This would cause much consternation and problems to maintain the ‘writer/columnist’ lifestyle.

So, the guys like Will, Krauthammer, and the Ghost of NRO are just protecting their turf on the playground. They are trying to protect their jobs. That is fine by me, sometimes you have to fight for your dinner. It’s a shame they don’t go after the Dems the same way that go after Donald Trump and his supporters. Maybe they don’t see the Dems as a threat? Or Worse, they see Trumps supporters as the real threat. The Vokey was hit almost perfect. The ball ended up less than 3 feet from the hole. I birdied the par 4 #2 for only the second time of my membership, at best calculation: 2/500 rounds.

(Started birdie/birdie/par/….ended up with a real, all strokes counted 82, and this is one of the most difficult courses in the area)

Discuss and be nice. Please.