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The Changing Electorate, A must read

by coldwarrior ( 2 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Politics, Special Report at February 20th, 2015 - 6:24 pm

Please read the entire article before posting. Thank you


The Great Party Switch

From 1968 through 1992, Republicans tended to control the White House. Since then, they’ve more frequently controlled Congress, which has moved them even more to the right.

An excerpt:

In truth, Gingrich’s and Reagan’s contributions to the modern Republican Party are hard to separate. By repositioning the GOP on cultural issues such as abortion so as to appeal to white evangelicals, Reagan started the ideological realignment that Gingrich and his allies reinforced. Without Reagan, it is doubtful that Gingrich could have achieved as much as he did. Schaller’s argument is that by helping to shift the Republican Party even more sharply to the right, Gingrich succeeded in making the GOP once and for all the dominant party in the South. What the Gingrichites did not foresee, however, was that the growing conservatism of their party would alienate large numbers of moderate-to-liberal Republicans and independents in the Northeast, the industrial Midwest, and the Pacific Coast, contributing to a gradual realignment of many states in those regions. As a result of this realignment, every state in the Northeast and every state on the Pacific Coast except Alaska voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012, and today the large majority of House members and senators from those states are Democrats…

There was something else that the Gingrich Republicans did not anticipate—the demographic transformation of the American electorate. Between the election of Clinton in 1992 and of Obama in 2008, the non-white share of the electorate doubled, going from 13 percent to 26 percent. It rose again, to 28 percent in 2012, and is expected to continue growing by about two percentage points every four years for the foreseeable future. Without this demographic transformation, Obama could never have won the presidency: His performance among whites and nonwhites in 2008 would have made him a decisive popular-vote loser if the demographic makeup of the electorate had been the same in 2008 as it had been in 1992.

By far the most important factor contributing to this demographic transformation has been the growing voting power of Latinos. This is the remarkable story that Matt Barreto and Gary Segura document in Latino America. Many of the book’s individual chapters were co-authored with graduate students or research associates at Latino Decisions; some were published earlier as stand-alone articles in political science journals. But this book is clearly intended for non-academic readers as well as scholars. It provides readers with a clear road map to understanding America’s rising Latino electorate—its size and composition, social and political beliefs, and electoral participation.

Barreto and Segura, along with their co-authors, take pains to knock down some common stereotypes about Latino voters—especially the belief that Latinos’ partisan orientations and voting behavior are strongly influenced by their religiosity and social conservatism. The authors clearly demonstrate that Latinos’ party attachments and voting choices are based overwhelmingly on their economic concerns and views of the role of government. They also demonstrate that Latinos are keenly aware of the positions of presidential candidates and other party leaders on the issue of immigration reform, especially the treatment of the 11 million–plus undocumented immigrants, mostly of Latino origin, currently in the United States.

Based on their socioeconomic characteristics and liberal views of government, the large majority of Latinos have traditionally supported the Democratic Party and its candidates. But that support has varied considerably from election to election. According to Barreto and Segura, a majority of Latinos have voted for a Republican candidate at least once, and as recently as 2004, George W. Bush won about 40 percent of Latino votes. Since then, however, Republicans have seen their share of the Latino vote fall steadily; in 2012, only 23 percent of Latinos voted for Mitt Romney.

A number of factors contributed to Romney’s poor showing among Latinos. His positions on economic issues, which became markedly more conservative during the Republican primaries, were out of step with the preferences of the large majority of Latinos. Romney’s call for “self-deportation,” that is, making life for undocumented immigrants so miserable that they would go back to their home countries on their own, undoubtedly also cost him Latino support. Barreto and Segura estimate that Obama’s popular-vote margin among Latinos in 2012 was greater than his overall popular-vote margin in the nation—the first time Latinos have ever provided the margin of victory to a presidential candidate.

Romney’s weak showing among Latinos was a clear warning sign to Republican leaders and strategists. Immediately following the election, Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus created a task force to examine the causes of the GOP defeat and recommend changes in the party’s approach. One of the group’s key recommendations was that the GOP adopt a more moderate position on the issue of immigration reform, moving away from an emphasis on deportation to an acceptance of some form of legalization and perhaps eventual citizenship for a large portion of the undocumented population.

Again, as a courtesy, please read the entire article and then feel free to post.

Excellent, In Depth Article on ISIS

by coldwarrior ( 5 Comments › )
Filed under Islamic Supremacism, Islamic Terrorism, Koran, Special Report at February 16th, 2015 - 11:37 am

Please read it all here.


The reality is that the Islamic State is Islamic. Very Islamic. Yes, it has attracted psychopaths and adventure seekers, drawn largely from the disaffected populations of the Middle East and Europe. But the religion preached by its most ardent followers derives from coherent and even learned interpretations of Islam.

Virtually every major decision and law promulgated by the Islamic State adheres to what it calls, in its press and pronouncements, and on its billboards, license plates, stationery, and coins, “the Prophetic methodology,” which means following the prophecy and example of Muhammad, in punctilious detail. Muslims can reject the Islamic State; nearly all do. But pretending that it isn’t actually a religious, millenarian group, with theology that must be understood to be combatted, has already led the United States to underestimate it and back foolish schemes to counter it. We’ll need to get acquainted with the Islamic State’s intellectual genealogy if we are to react in a way that will not strengthen it, but instead help it self-immolate in its own excessive zeal.


ISIS’ magazine DABIQ is available here

If the Lie is BIG Enough…

by coldwarrior ( 9 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Economy, Special Report, unemployment at January 26th, 2015 - 7:42 pm

I knew that this paper was in the works, it was just a matter of time before it hit.

Study: 2014’s Employment Boom Almost Entirely Due to the Expiration of Unemployment Benefits Obama Wanted to Renew

Those who’ve listened to President Obama’s speeches over the past couple months have heard him boast that 2014 has seen impressive improvements in the labor market — the best year in job creation since 1999, he points out, and he’s right. But there’s no obvious explanation for why 2014 has been, by a good margin, the best year of a weak jobs recovery. The president has naturally credited his policies (without any justification). But what if 2014’s jobs boom is mostly thanks to the expiration of a program that the Obama administration and Democrats fervently pushed to renew?

That’s the finding of a new NBER working paper from three economists — Marcus Hagedorn, Kurt Mitman, and Iourii Manovskii — who contend that the ending of federally extended unemployment benefits across the country at the end of 2013 explains much of the labor-market boom in 2014.

About 60 percent of the job creation in 2014, 1.8 million jobs, they find, can be attributed to the end of the extended-benefits program. That’s a huge amount, and suggests that long-term unemployment benefits, while there’s a good charitable case for them, could have played a big role in the ongoing lassitude of our labor market. (Indeed, an earlier working paper from a few of the same authors argued that extended benefits raised the unemployment rate during the Great Recession by three percentage points; see a summary of that paper here.)

So what was the program Democrats wanted to renew? States run their own unemployment-insurance programs, which provide around 26 weeks of benefits to people who’ve lost jobs and are looking for new ones. But during the recent recession, as they have in other downturns, Congress repeatedly authorized federal extensions that allowed people to draw benefits for much longer. At the end of 2013, the Senate narrowly passed a renewal of the program, but the House never took it up and the extensions, already much longer than any previous recession had seen, expired.

This created something of a “natural experiment.” States had unemployment-insurance programs of widely varying length — they ranged from 40 weeks up to 73, roughly — but after the end of the federal extensions at the start of 2014, the duration of benefits in almost all states went back to around 26 weeks.

The paper uses that shift to examine how expiring benefits might have affected the labor market, and they find that the expiration of extended benefits produced a big boost to job creation, labor-force participation, and hiring. It’s a dramatically different result than what the White House and Democrats were predicting at the end of 2013: The Obama administration was predicting that the drop-off in stimulative spending from the expiration would cost 240,000 jobs, while the NBER paper finds that it created 1.8 million jobs.

The authors don’t think this happened the way you think it might: It’s not so much that the cut-off drove individuals on benefits back to work, but more that less-generous benefits actually spurred job creation on a macro level, getting employers to hire and drawing into the labor force people who hadn’t been looking for a job. They don’t lay out how that worked, but in their October 2013 paper, argue that extended unemployment benefits artificially boosts wages — when they expire, employers then boost job openings and start hiring people.

Of course, the usual caveats apply: This is not a perfect experiment at all, and the paper, while very rigorous, can’t get past the fact that it’s just crunching numbers about macro trends. And there are some concerns with the authors’ county-level data, though they try to make up for that.

The simplest form of the analysis was just looking at states that had long benefit terms versus short ones. In 2013, job creation was worse in more generous states than the national average; in 2014, after those states dropped their much more generous programs, it was much better than the national average:

There’s a lot more analysis they did, which I won’t get into — but to untangle related effects, they look at neighboring counties in states with different unemployment regimes, etc.

Now, this is just one paper and it involves some fancy econometrics, but it answers an unresolved question — why 2014 saw the labor market perk up (there’s also a possible end-of-austerity explanation, but it’s the labor market, not the economy overall, that’s really improved noticeably).

It should prompt passionate supporters of the extended unemployment-insurance program to consider whether it made as much sense as they thought. Even conservative economists, such as Michael Strain, pushed for the extension of long-term benefits. The length and scale of benefits during the Great Recession was unprecedented, but advocates for the program argued that this was necessary so long as unemployment, and especially long-term unemployment, remained historically elevated. Besides the moral case for supporting the unemployed, the market-friendly case for extending benefits is that one has to be searching for a job to get them. Cut the benefits, and you’ll see the long-term unemployed drop out of the labor force for good, the argument went. (It’s extremely hard to tell what did happen with these people when benefits expired, and the NBER paper here doesn’t comment on that.)

Advocates for extended benefits also argued that it was just an effective form of stimulus for the economy, because recipients spend their benefits immediately. That was always a pretty lame case, since the program’s value to the economy in spending terms — in the Obama White House’s generous estimation, 240,000 jobs in 2014 – would probably be outweighed if either side’s arguments about the labor-market effects proved mostly true. Indeed, if the new NBER paper is right, letting benefits expire produced 7.5 times as many jobs as the White House said it would cost.

The general economic consensus has always been that unemployment insurance slightly boosts the unemployment rate. Even liberal economists accept this, although they lampoon the idea that people might prefer benefits to working (that isn’t the point, Paul — people act at the margin). But we still have unemployment insurance, of course, because we want a safety net for people in the event of job loss. That just has to be balanced against the costs that the program imposes on the labor market. The new NBER paper doesn’t find that those costs in general are much higher than economists generally assume; rather, it suggests that the benefits of reining in long-term programs can be quite substantial.

There was always good reason to think this is the case: One of the many differences between American and European labor markets is that most of the latter have unemployment benefits systems of effectively unlimited duration — and much higher levels of structural unemployment.

All of that is very nice, except they don’t take this into consideration:


As you can see from the graph linked in the above paragraph, Real Unemployment is at almost 24%. Those who no longer have benefits no longer count for the NBER or the White House. Once your benefits are exhausted, you cease to be counted. That is why the real number of unemployed goes up in reality while for the government it goes down. There is a 20% spread between reality and what the government claims to be.

Required Reading: Crony GOP

by coldwarrior ( 8 Comments › )
Filed under Special Report at January 1st, 2015 - 2:28 pm

This is the kind of stuff that I am talking about: The GOP is not interested in smaller govt and more freedom, nor is it interested in competition and capitalism. It loves being crony tho:


The Crony Capitalism Litmus Test

The Ex-Im Bank won’t survive 2015—if the GOP is serious about free market principles.

Rep. Eric Cantor didn’t just lose his Virginia Republican primary. He was demolished. Dave Brat-a mostly unknown economics professor from a local college-beat the powerful Republican incumbent by 11 percentage points.

Cantor on June 10, 2014, became the first sitting House majority leader in the history of the job to lose his own party’s primary. Nearly every pundit in America called Brat’s win a political earthquake, and it didn’t seem like much of an exaggeration.

One of the Cantorquake’s biggest aftershocks came on Wall Street, where the next morning shares of Boeing dropped 2.3 percent-the biggest decline of all companies on the Dow Jones Industrial average that day. The headline at Bloomberg News told the story: “Boeing Tumbles as Cantor Loss Clouds Ex-Im Bank’s Future.”

How could the loss of a single House seat so thoroughly rattle the stockholders of a giant, profitable, stable company like Boeing, let alone the supporters of an obscure Washington institution like the Export-Import Bank? Boeing, it turns out, is the largest beneficiary of the Ex-Im Bank’s loan guarantees, which are typically awarded to foreign companies and governments for the purposes of buying big-ticket items like U.S.-made jets.

And Cantor? He was the political point man tasked with holding down a grassroots insurrection against what many free market champions consider the embodiment of Beltway crony capitalism. His downfall signaled to activists on both sides of the Ex-Im fight that the Tea Party wave of 2010 might be on the verge of forcing the Republican Party to live up to its limited government principles.

In normal times, Congress re-authorizes the Ex-Im Bank every few years with minimal fuss, since both major parties share a broad enthusiasm for corporate welfare. But this time around, as the September 30 deadline for re-authorization approached, an epic battle erupted on the Republican side of the aisle, with free marketeers, libertarians, and Tea Partiers taking on the business lobby over a comparatively tiny but hugely symbolic federal agency.

As issues like war in Syria crowded out the September legislative calendar, the showdown was postponed when lawmakers agreed to a nine-month renewal of the agency, thus pushing the re-authorization battle to as late as June 2015 or as soon as December, should the lame-duck Congress decide to intervene on a longer-term deal. The bruised combatants on both sides are split over whether the postponement signals business as usual or the first real chance at lopping off this dispenser of political favors.

However it plays after the 2014 elections, the questions at stake remain the same: Do Republicans believe their free market talk? Or is it merely a cover for doing the bidding of business? And if Republicans can’t kill or seriously trim a New Deal program that subsidizes foreign governments-mostly to buy Boeing jets-will they ever get serious about fighting corporate welfare?

What Is Ex-Im?

Most people have never heard of the Export-Import Bank of the United States.

Ex-Im exists outside of any cabinet department. Due to special accounting methods, it resides almost entirely outside the federal budget. Even its building is nondescript-the agency is housed in the least impressive structure in the neighborhood immediately around the White House, and that’s saying something.

Franklin Roosevelt created Ex-Im in part as a way to subsidize Joseph Stalin. “Since the Bolsheviks had seized power in Russia in 1917, the United States had refused to accept the legitimacy of the new Soviet regime,” Ex-Im’s official historians William Becker and William McClenahan explain in their 2003 history The Market, the State, and the Export-Import Bank of the United States. “Throughout the 1920s, Presidents Harding, Coolidge, and Hoover conditioned recognition on the USSR agreeing to accepted standards of international conduct. That is, they wanted the Soviet government to end its support of revolutionary activities in other countries, return confiscated property, and accept the international financial obligations of its predecessor government.”

But as Hitler’s threat grew, FDR’s foreign policy advisers and the business lobby pushed for normalized relations without conditions. To this end, FDR created the Export-Import Bank, initially capitalizing it with $10 million from the New Deal Reconstruction Finance Corporation. “Roosevelt’s executive order of February 2, 1934, authorized the new bank to finance American trade with the USSR,” Becker and McClenahan explain.

FDR steadily expanded the agency’s purpose beyond the initial goal of helping Stalin, as Cuba and then China became Ex-Im customers. In 1945, Congress passed the Export-Import Bank Act, codifying the agency. Soon, ironically, Eisenhower was sold on Ex-Im’s importance as a Cold War tool-the goal was to subsidize Third World countries to win them away from communism, as Becker and McClenahan tell it. Since then, the justification for it has constantly shifted: a foreign policy lever, an international development agency, a weapon in trade wars, and finally a job creator.

Ex-Im subsidizes U.S. exports through a few different financial products that all have one thing in common: they put the U.S. taxpayer on the hook if a foreign customer fails or refuses to pay back a loan. In Fiscal Year 2013, Ex-Im extended $27.3 billion in financing.

Ex-Im’s biggest product is the long-term loan guarantee. Over the past three fiscal years, such guarantees made up $52.6 billion of the agency’s $95.9 billion in financing. A fairly typical guarantee is the one that the Ex-Im’s board of directors approved on August 22: Virgin Australian International Airlines was buying a new batch of Boeing jets and Canadian TD Bank was providing the financing, in the form of a 20-year loan to the Aussie airline. This looks like a regular market transaction until the Ex-Im Bank steps in to guarantee the loan, meaning that if Virgin Australian fails to pay back the Canadian lender, U.S. taxpayers cover the bank’s loss.

The long-term loan guarantee program is mostly a subsidy program for Boeing. Of the agency’s $52.6 billion in loan guarantees over the past three years, more than half has covered Boeing sales. This isn’t a very diversified portfolio, but luckily for Ex-Im (and U.S. taxpayers), purchasers of jumbo jets have a tiny default rate so far.

Ex-Im also makes direct loans-$25 billion over the past three fiscal years. For instance, Ex-Im loaned $1.03 billion to Global Foundries, a semiconductor manufacturer owned by the Emirate of Abu Dhabi. The loan covered Global Foundries’ purchase of U.S.-made equipment to build a factory in Germany.


READ the rest before commenting please.

This is why I don’t buy the bullshit conservative words that come out of most GOPsters mouths. Wonder why the Tea (Taxed Enough Already) movement was destroyed so early by GOPsters and Dems? It was a threat to their wallets. Eric Cantor is just the tip of the iceberg.

Some Reading on Russia

by coldwarrior ( 1 Comment › )
Filed under Academia, Economy, History, Politics, Russia, Special Report at December 19th, 2014 - 8:21 pm

As this is a special report, Please take your time and read the following article here before commenting, it is worth you effort:


…I thought the economic problems of Russia would be foremost on people’s minds. The plunge of the ruble, the decline in oil prices, a general slowdown in the economy and the effect of Western sanctions all appear in the West to be hammering the Russian economy. Yet this was not the conversation I was having. The decline in the ruble has affected foreign travel plans, but the public has only recently begun feeling the real impact of these factors, particularly through inflation.

But there was another reason given for the relative calm over the financial situation, and it came not only from government officials but also from private individuals and should be considered very seriously. The Russians pointed out that economic shambles was the norm for Russia, and prosperity the exception. There is always the expectation that prosperity will end and the normal constrictions of Russian poverty return….

Happy Holidays PERIOD from Loretta Sanchez

by Bunk X ( 7 Comments › )
Filed under Baseball, Military, Politics, Satire, Special Report at December 18th, 2014 - 12:05 am

The Missus is a registered Democrat out of respect to her deceased parents, but she’s a DINO. She likes it that way because it allows her to view the liberal propaganda sent via the US Postal Service that floods our mailbox prior to every election.

Because the Missus is a DINO, one of the benefits we receive is a yearly “Holiday Card” from Rep. Loretta Sanchez (D) even though we don’t live in her District. Each year Ms. Sanchez’ cards become more bizarre, and this one is one of the strangest.

2014 Loretta Sanchez Christmas Card

It’s bizarre enough that Ms. Sanchez and her relatively new hubby are standing up to their knees in a bog in the infield of Angels Stadium some local high school’s outfield, but it gets even stranger.

Pheew. Stinky Stinky.

Pheew. Stinky Stinky.

I mean, look at that face. Really look. She’s a rabid gerbil ready to chew off your genitalia, no matter what sex you choose to be, sneering at you because you remind her of her ex-husband Stephen Brixey (who apparently divorced her once he found out she was screwing around with a retired military corporal who was also married at the time according to this account).

It also appears that she’s dropped some pounds (maybe 25?) since I saw her live at a Tet Parade where she pranced down the street in a gaudy silk fluorescent muumuu pretending to be Vietnamese. She was an embarrassing bouncy dough-ball to every person with even 1/16 latino heritage.

Corporal John “Jack” Einwechter is a lobbyist/activist/retired military lawyer, and never played for the Angels, let alone professional baseball as far as I can tell. But he, like Loretta Sanchez, apparently has a penchant for infidelity, and he gets to wake up to that unadorned face every morning.

2014 Loretta Sanchez Christmas Card 2

The background image on the left is screened, and it showa Ms. Sanchez in stilettos as if she’s just hit a home run in front of an empty stadium. She adds “Happy Holidays PERIOD.”  She likes her cat, too. There’s a pitcher/catcher joke somewhere in there, but I’m not gonna do it. I’m going for the back flap.

2014 Loretta Sanchez Christmas Card 3

It took a photographer, a hair dresser and two makeup artists just to produce that awesome face for a lame Christmas card about baseball.

Kudos, Loretta. You’ve proved yourself to be a complete ditz.

The Dems Are in More Hot Water

by coldwarrior ( 3 Comments › )
Filed under Open thread, Politics, Special Report at December 10th, 2014 - 8:00 pm

Yes, it’s from the New York Times…The paper no one in flyover country cares about, but still…

Please read it all

Have Democrats Failed the White Working Class?

Why don’t white working-class voters recognize where their economic interests lie? Somewhat self-righteously, Democrats keep asking themselves that question.

A better question would be: What has the Democratic Party done for these voters lately?

At work and at home, their lives are worse than they were a generation ago. Their real incomes have fallen, their employment opportunities have diminished, their families have crumbled and their ties to society are fraying.

This is how daily life feels, to many in the white working class. Unlike blacks and Hispanics, whites are not the beneficiaries of affirmative action programs designed to open doors to higher education and better jobs for underrepresented minorities; if anything, these programs serve only to limit their horizons.

Liberal victories in the sexual and women’s rights revolutions – victories that have made the lives of many upscale Democrats more productive and satisfying — appear, from the vantage point of the white working class, to have left many women to struggle as single parents, forced to cope with both male defection from paternal responsibility and the fragmentation of a family structure that was crucial to upward mobility in the postwar period.

This bleak view emerges from two recently published works, “Labor’s Love Lost,” by Andrew Cherlin, a professor of public policy at Johns Hopkins, and “Was Moynihan Right? What Happens to the Children of Unmarried Mothers,” a research report by Sara McLanahan and Christopher Jencks, sociologists at Princeton and Harvard, respectively.

Both works address broader subjects than the partisan allegiance of working-class whites, but each illuminates the interaction of economic and cultural forces driving these voters away from their New Deal home.

“The young adults without bachelor’s degrees who are the heirs of the industrial working class today are not a cultural vanguard confidently leading the way toward a postmodern family lifestyle,” Cherlin writes. “Rather, they are a group making constrained choices.”

PLEASE, read the rest.  .

It is obvious the the Democrat Party threw the working middle class family out of the Party quite on purpose. These middles are the bourgeoisie…the impediments to the revolution. The aging hippies who hated suburbia finally have their revenge on the oh so terrible middle class…the middle class who now are and by a large majority NOT voting for Democrats. I think the hippie proggie boomers have peaked in power and will now wain until they return in 40 years to try it again, the math is just not with them anymore.

Prayers for Mandy: Update 26 November 2014

by Bunk X ( 3 Comments › )
Filed under Special Report at November 26th, 2014 - 8:30 pm

Mandy Nagy

Mandy Nagy is recovering from a massive stroke she suffered on 6 September. [See previous post with links here.] Mandy’s personal friend Bill Jacobson has been posting updates periodically on Legal-Insurrection:

Update 2:00 p.m. 11-26-2014 — Mandy’s mom writes on the Fundraising Page:

Mandy continues with her rehab. She can walk with the help of one person and a cane/walker. She has some movement in her right leg but very little in her right arm. She understands most of what is being said to her but has trouble communicating back. She can read some. With her IPad she is working with several apps to teach her the English language again and to make it easier to communicate. Thank you all for your generosity. It is with these funds she is purchasing the equipment she needs to get better and make life easier. I have shown her the website and she can read the comments herself. Her response is “oh” “oh”. I can see how grateful she is.

She also followed up with me: Mandy will be home for Thanksgiving. She will then have in home care and rehab. After that she will go to outpatient rehab. Her spirits are high and she has a good attitude.

Mandy, you’ve got a long road, and we wish you complete recovery.

Canada Considers Fence On Southern Border To Stem Wave Of Illegal Immigration

by Bunk X ( 4 Comments › )
Filed under America, Canada, Elections 2010, Elections 2012, Humor, immigration, Immigration, Mexico, Politics, Russia, Satire, Special Report at November 22nd, 2014 - 10:54 pm


Mexico allows Central and South American immigrants to pass through her borders on 72 hour visas, and most of those people are headed for the porous southern border of the US. As these illegal immigrants pour in, local pressure builds, and now there’s another movement happening at the US – Canadian Border. Canadians don’t like it.

US Canada Border Fence

Here’s the full transcript from The Manitoba Herald 1 December 2010:

Border Fence Proposed
by Clive Runnels
The flood of American liberals sneaking across the border into Canada has intensified in the past week, sparking calls for increased patrols to stop the illegal immigration. The recent actions of the Tea Party and the fact Republicans won the Senate are prompting an exodus among left-leaning citizens who fear they’ll soon be required to hunt, pray, and to agree with Bill O’Reilly and Glenn Beck.

Canadian border farmers say it’s not uncommon to see dozens of sociology professors, animal-rights activists and Unitarians crossing their fields at night.  “I went out to milk the cows the other day, and there was a Hollywood producer huddled in the barn,” said Southern Manitoba farmer Red Greenfield, whose acreage borders North Dakota. The producer was cold,exhausted and hungry. He asked me if I could spare a latte and some free-range chicken. When I said I didn’t have any, he left before I even got a chance to show him my screenplay, eh?”

In an effort to stop the illegal aliens, Greenfield erected higher fences, but the liberals scaled them. He then installed loudspeakers that blared Rush Limbaugh across the fields. “Not real effective,” he said. “The liberals still got through and Rush annoyed the cows so much that they wouldn’t give any milk.”

Officials are particularly concerned about smugglers who meet liberals near the Canadian border, pack them into Volvo station wagons, and drive them across the border where they are simply left to fend for themselves. “A lot of these people are not prepared for our rugged conditions,” an Ontario border patrolman said. “I found one carload without a single bottle of imported drinking water. They did have a nice little Napa Valley cabernet, though.” When liberals are caught, they’re sent back across the border, often wailing loudly that they fear retribution from conservatives. Rumors have been circulating about plans being made to build re-education camps where liberals will be forced to drink domestic beer and watch NASCAR races.

In recent days, liberals have turned to ingenious ways of crossing the border. Some have been disguised as senior citizens taking a bus trip to buy cheap Canadian prescription drugs. After catching a half-dozen young vegans in powdered wig disguises, Canadian immigration authorities began stopping buses and quizzing the supposed senior-citizens about Perry Como and Rosemary Clooney to prove that they were alive in the ’50s. “If they can’t identify the accordion player on The Lawrence Welk Show, we become very suspicious about their age,” an official said.

Canadian citizens have complained that the illegal immigrants are creating an organic-broccoli shortage and are renting all the Michael Moore  movies. “I really feel sorry for American liberals, but the Canadian economy just can’t support them,” an Ottawa resident said. “How many art-history majors does one country need?”

In an effort to ease tensions between the United States and Canada, Vice President Biden met with the Canadian ambassador and pledged that the administration would take steps to reassure liberals. A source close to President Obama said, “We’re going to have some Paul McCartney and Peter, Paul & Mary concerts. And we might even put some endangered species on postage stamps. The President is determined to reach out,” he said.

The US and Canada are not the only countries experiencing an influx of illegal immigrants crossing their southern borders. Check out this image from Vladikavkaz, Russia:


If the Theory of Global Worming is true, there’s going to be a massive influx of people from all regions south of the Arctic Circle, judging from the current migration patterns.

Sure, Canada has Molson’s and poutine, but I’m gonna stay put and watch the parade. By the way, The Manitoba Herald folded in 1877, there is no such person named Clive Runnels, and I am not the author of the quoted satirical article. Go figger.

Saturday Lecture Series: The South American Origin of EV-68

by coldwarrior ( 44 Comments › )
Filed under Academia, Medicine, saturday lecture series, Special Report at October 18th, 2014 - 8:00 am

*This post was formerly the Saturday Lecture of 10/18/14*

*–You can assign whatever political motives to the Fedgov’s and Obama’s actions to the above scenario. The fact is, Ebola is a shiny object waved in our faces to distract us from the real problem in communicable disease, the politicization of illness.*


Good Morninng All! Welcome back to The Blogmocracy General Hospital and Distillery. Today We are going to have a lecture on Ebola. Enterovirus 68,  and some definitions and science. This is going to be a long lecture with lots of ranging topics. It is testable material.

The infectious disease guys want us to wash our hands with soap and water whenever possible. Only use that nasty anti-biotic gel when there is no soap and water around. The bacteria look at antibiotic hand gel the same way that Nietzsche looked at the human condition, “that which does not kill us makes us stronger”. The gel kills most of the nasties; all are still left on your hands. Some live and they multiply, your hand sanitizer doesn’t work any more against that generation and their kids….and so on.

Soap and water mechanically gets all of them off of you.

Virus versus Bacteria

What is a virus? Let’s start by saying a virus and a bacteria are very very different. Bacteria are living cells that replicate on their own. Virii are collection of RNA or DNA that is wrapped in a simple protective coating. Virii bind to host cells and hijack that cell’s internal mechanisms to replicate the genetic material that is carried inside the virus. Whether or not virii are ‘alive’ is a matter of definition.Do they work against entropy? Well, no. They cannot replicate without host cells. Most virus can be eliminated with the help of a Vaccination. A Vaccination shows the body’s own defenses how to eliminate the virus.


Bacteria are very different. Bacteria are living cells. They require a medium and energy source to grow in, just like we do. Bacteria can be killed for the most part with antibiotics. Antibiotics are useless against virii. Antibiotics either disrupt the internal replication of the bacteria or destroys the cell wall.

Please see this list of Infectious Disease, many are caused by Bacteria and Virii, do note, when a disease agent is a virii, it is in the name of the agent:  Hepatitis C Virus. When the disease is caused by a Bacteria, the bacteria is named in convention: Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

As a general rule, virii are very very fragile outside the body as their structure is not conducive to living outside a host for long. Bacteria, on the other hand, are very hearty and can live for a very long time outside of a body. Anyone who is familiar with C-Diff can attest to that. Let’s also keep in mind that more people get the common cold (Enterovirus) that get Ebola (virus).

Ok, that should have taken you about 4 hours to get through. :lol:


Human response to infection:

Besides the obvious responses and the detail in the vaccination video above; this is testable and cumulative knowledge. So, do keep up. The main physiological response to a large infection is a fever. In healthy adult men and women, the range of normal, healthy temperatures for oral temperature is 33.2–38.2 °C (91.8–100.8 °F). A Fever….a response to an infection lies above that range.

I love Pathophysiology, so here is a dose for yinz:

The Pathophysiology of a Fever:

Temperature is ultimately regulated in the hypothalamus. A trigger of the fever, called a pyrogen, causes a release of prostaglandin E2 (PGE2). PGE2 then in turn acts on the hypothalamus, which generates a systemic response back to the rest of the body, causing heat-creating effects to match a new temperature level.

In many respects, the hypothalamus works like a thermostat.[19] When the set point is raised, the body increases its temperature through both active generation of heat and retaining heat. Vasoconstriction both reduces heat loss through the skin and causes the person to feel cold. If these measures are insufficient to make the blood temperature in the brain match the new setting in the hypothalamus, then shivering begins in order to use muscle movements to produce more heat. When the fever stops, and the hypothalamic setting is set lower; the reverse of these processes (vasodilation, end of shivering and nonshivering heat production) and sweating are used to cool the body to the new, lower setting.

This contrasts with hyperthermia, in which the normal setting remains, and the body overheats through undesirable retention of excess heat or over-production of heat.[19] Hyperthermia is usually the result of an excessively hot environment (heat stroke) or an adverse reaction to drugs. Fever can be differentiated from hyperthermia by the circumstances surrounding it and its response to anti-pyretic medications

Ibuprofen, Acetaminophen, and Aspirin lower fevers because they disrupt the prostaglandins.

Why this response to infection?  Fever does a few things. First it aids in the healing process by increasing activity of the cells that make up the immune system, it degrades the Endotoxin effects, and it can denature the proteins in some infectious agents. Denature the proteins and you kill the invader. However, you risk denaturing your cellular structure as well. Brain damage lurks around 107F.

Lets Get Topical:

In America, as opposed to Africa, we don’t live in our own waste. We have proper health care. We understand science. That is why the Ebola breakout here will fizzle out and be a memory shortly.  If we were like Africa, we would have hundreds, maybe thousands of cases already. Even with the incompetence of Unit Directors in hospitals and the CDC, the staff at the hospitals managed to suppress this infection. Ebola must be in body fluids to transfer from body to body. It evolved that way. the coughing up of blood, projectile vomiting, projectile diarrhea and bleeding from all orifices is part of the evolution of the disease. the Virii that forced these actions survived, hence the hemorrhagic fevers. That is also why we do catch colds instead of Ebola. We get virus on our hands, touch a doorknob, someone else touches a doorknob…and it’s the common cold! There are more EV’s that cause common cold than there are hemorrhagic fevers for a reason. The hemorrhagic virus lives like a ROCK STAR! The EV’s live like middle management and bureaucrats.

Because we don’t live in our own filth, et cetera…the shiny object that everyone loves to talk about, Ebola, will fade. In the background is a rampant epidemic of a different type, Enterovirus 68. Enterovirii are highly contagious, the common cold is an EV. EV lasts longer outside of the host and are focused on respiratory excretions (as well as fecal-oral route) as a means for transmission. Someone with a cold (EV) isn’t much of a perceived vector when compared to the Ebola vector who is having projectile bloody vomit, explosive diarrhea, and is bleeding from every orifice. Who do you notice more, the middle manager or the ROCK STAR! ?

Enterovirus affect millions of people worldwide each year, and are often found in the respiratory secretions (e.g., saliva, sputum, or nasal mucus) and stool of an infected person. Historically, poliomyelitis was the most significant disease caused by an enterovirus, poliovirus. There are 64 non-polio enteroviruses that can cause disease in humans: 23 Coxsackie A viruses, 6 Coxsackie B viruses, 28 echoviruses, and 5 other enteroviruses.[2] Poliovirus, as well as coxsackie and echovirus are spread through the fecal-oral route. Infection can result in a wide variety of symptoms ranging from mild respiratory illness (common cold), hand, foot and mouth disease, acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis, aseptic meningitis, myocarditis, severe neonatal sepsis-like disease, and acute flaccid paralysis.[2]

We identified Enterovirus-68 in 1962. Once in a while it would pop up, maybe a few here and there. However. This virus, like several other EV’s are found in far more prevalent numbers in Central America. Younger people are more likely to carry the virus as they have not grown the resistance to it. The more I look into this, the more politics I see. Let’s get down to some science and some numbers. The study cited just now says that:


Our subjects had a median age of 3 years and a 1.2:1.0 male:female ratio. HRV was identified in 16% and HEV was identified in 3%. HRVs accounted for a higher frequency of isolates in those of younger age, in particular children < 1 years old. HRV-C accounted for 38% of all HRVs detected. Phylogenetic analysis revealed a high proportion of recombinant strains between HRV-A/HRV-C and between HEV-A/HEV-B. In addition, both EV-D68 and EV-A71 were identified.


In Latin America as in other regions, HRVs and HEVs account for a substantial proportion of respiratory viruses identified in young people with ILI, a finding that provides additional support for the development of pharmaceuticals and vaccines targeting these pathogens.

The age of those studied ranged from 1 month to 25 years, I’d like to introduce their graph here, note the HEV rates across coutry.

3% of those found to be ill with influenza type symptoms were found to have Enterovirus. Enterovirus-68 was identified. From their numbers 1 in 8 (12%) ill with an EV had EV-68. So, let’s take a thousand infected people from this set, this yields 3.6 people out of  1000 sick who are carrying EV-68. We can’t cut people into .6, so lets round down on purpose to 3 out of 1000 people who are sick are EV68.

There have been at least 50,000 children (low-ball on purpose), who have crossed from Central America to here in the past year. These are the ones who don’t have the adult immunity built up yet that we discussed above.

Now we have to make an assumption and carry it forward in real time. 50,000 kids (and this is a low estimate on purpose) head North. Lets say that 1% are sick with flu-like symptoms (fever, runny nose, body aches) at the start of their journey. This is also a low-ball estimate. Anyone who is around a bunch of kids knows that there are sniffles everywhere. So, of the 50,000 who got here, 2 stared out with Ev-68.

Just 2? So what. Well, that is at the start of the journey. And if its 3% sick its 4. If its 100,000 kids crossing the border….I low-balled this on purpose to prove a point. Lets take 2 kids with EV-68 and start them on their journey North. We all saw the conditions on the way up here. the farther North they get the closer packed they become until finally being placed in a holding area North of the border. Pause here.

2 EV-68 kids start a moths long journey and become placed into a cadre of other kids. The virus spreads from the beginning of the journey. Then more than 2 have the bug. Remember, EV-68 most of the time is just ‘the flu’ or a ‘cold’. A bunch of kids traveling North in far less than ideal conditions are going to be susceptible to the virus. The 2 become more. Large groups were congregated South of the border, crossed, and then became larger groups again North of the border. They did not move as cadre at the border or in the North. these are pools where some get in and some get out. Therefore, the EV infection can be spread on the journey north, reside south and north of the border and propagate until everyone leaves the area. As time moves forward in these places, the infection rate gets higher.

Disperse the disease.

The kids make it to the North. They are placed in holding areas. Did you notice that Fedgov was real quick to clear these people out of the holding areas as soon as possible? It was willing to take tons of heat and bad press over this. Why? You have to distribute them widely and rapidly to minimize large localized identifiable outbreaks. It does not take a genius to realize that packed in people living on top of each other will be disease vectors. We now have more than 2 EV-68’s at this point.  If one of them gets into a tight packed group of a few hundred or a thousand we have rapidly multiplying  disease vectors. We have an expanding and easily identified  infection. Now, this isn’t limited to the kids. Anyone who comes in contact who does not have immunity is now a vector.  The claim that the outbreaks of EV-68 also happened where there wasn’t ‘large numbers’ of these kids placed does not understand how infection works. It only takes one disease vector, immigrant or citizen, to infect many at any given time. These people who make such claims do not take time, which multiplies contact and increases disease,  into consideration as potential for more infections. Place one sick kid into a classroom full of kids who have no resistance to EV-68 and its going to be bad.

How would you get rid of a tanker truck full of incredibly toxic liquid? I’d drive it around on the highways while it dripped maybe a milliliter or so every 10 seconds at highway speed until empty; Hopefully, no one notices.

You can assign whatever political motives to the Fedgov’s and Obama’s actions to the above scenario. The fact is, Ebola is a shiny object waved in our faces to distract us from the real problem in communicable disease, the politicization of illness.

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